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Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 15
Jul 8, 2021 at 2am UK
CenturyLink Field
Houston Dynamo

Seattle
2 - 0
Houston

Rowe (62'), Ruidiaz (90+4')
Gomez Andrade (33'), Leyva (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Picault (80')

Preview: Seattle Sounders vs. Houston Dynamo - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

The Seattle Sounders will have an opportunity to make MLS history on Wednesday when they host the Houston Dynamo from Lumen Field.

The Rave Green drew 1-1 with the Colorado Rapids to remain unbeaten on the season, while the Dynamo had a fourth successive draw, with a 1-1 result against FC Cincinnati.


Match preview

Seattle Sounders players celebrate winning the Western Conference in December 2020© Reuters

After a dozen games played, the Seattle Sounders continue to defy the critics, who anticipated an off-year for the 2020 MLS Cup runners-up, with the loss of numerous key players and a new system in place.

Instead of taking a step back, however, Seattle have looked just as good, if not better, and they found a way to grind out another result last Sunday against a talented Colorado team, despite Brian Schmetzer employing a new 3-4-2-1 formation.

You have to hand it to the Seattle manager, who continuously gets his tactics right despite many critical injuries to the squad, and his team always seem to respond when they look down and out.

Equalling a league record, with a 12-match unbeaten run to start this campaign is quite an accomplishment, but you know that this team will be motivated to reach 13 on Wednesday, not to mention the fact that they are now even on points with Sporting Kansas City for the top spot in the Western Conference.

A team as determined as the Sounders have been will always be looking for ways to fine-tune their game, and one area that they will be keying on is doing a better job of closing out their matches, failing to win their last two fixtures despite scoring first.

Striker Raul Ruidiaz may be their go-to guy upfront but make no mistake, this is a team with various attacking threats, with eight different players getting their name on the scoresheet so far and seven notching at least one assist.

Houston Dynamo FC head coach Tab Ramos reacts on June 24, 2021© Reuters

The Houston Dynamo have been far from spectacular in their opening 12 games, but they seem to be doing just enough to get by.

With four points in their last four fixtures, they are clinging to the seventh and final playoff spot in the Western Conference with 15 points.

The key for Tab Ramos and his team will be not to fall apart as they did after their first dozen games last season, where they won only one of their final 14 matches, failing to make the post season for a third successive campaign.

A win or a draw on Wednesday would mark the third time in the past five seasons that they have gone unbeaten in five successive regular-season games.

They have usually started a match well, with 10 of their 16 goals coming in the first half, but they tend to get fatigued as a game goes on, conceding 10 of their 17 goals so far in the second half.

Last weekend, Houston dominated in several statistical categories, which is rare, including out shooting Cincinnati 21-11, the first time they had outshot an opponent since their 2-1 win over the Vancouver Whitecaps on May 22.

Seattle Sounders Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D

Houston Dynamo Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • D



Team News

Seattle Sounders FC head coach Brian Schmetzer on June 27, 2021© Reuters

Midfielder Will Bruin is likely to miss this match for the Sounders with a torn meniscus, while left winger Jordan Morris and defensive midfielder Jordy Delem are out with cruciate ligament ruptures.

Goalkeeper Stefan Frei is still nursing a knee injury, and attacking midfielder, Nicolas Lodeiro is recovering from knee surgery.

Defender Alex Roldan notched his first goal of the season versus the Rapids, but he will not have a chance to add to that tally as he will be away on international duty with El Salvador at the Gold Cup.

His teammate Cristian Roldan will be with the United States for the competition, but defender Xavier Arreaga could be available after Ecuador were knocked out of the Copa America last week by Argentina.

Midfielder Joao Paulo leads the team in assists with five, which is good for third in the league, while he also leads the Sounders in key passes with 25.

Houston centre-back Ethan Bartlow is still recovering from a concussion that has kept him out of the lineup since early April.

Adam Lundqvist could return to the starting 11 after being a healthy scratch last weekend versus Cincinnati, and he leads the team in interceptions with 25 so far this year.

Midfielder Darwin Ceren is with El Salvador for the Gold Cup, while their second-leading goalscorer Tyler Pasher will represent Canada, defender Maynor Figueroa will captain Honduras in the tournament and he will be joined in that squad with his teammate, midfielder Boniek Garcia.

The leading goalscorer for the Dynamo this season, Maximiliano Urruti, has scored three of his teams' last four goals away from home.

Seattle Sounders possible starting lineup:
Cleveland; Cissoko, O'Neill, Gomez; Smith, Medranda, Leyva, Paulo, Rowe; Montero, Ruidiaz

Houston Dynamo possible starting lineup:
Maric; Valentin, Bizama, Figueroa, Lundqvist; Corona, Hoffmann, Rodriguez; Quintero, Urruti, Picault


SM words green background

We say: Seattle Sounders 2-0 Houston Dynamo

Nothing seems to phase this Sounders team, who now have some competition on their hands for the Supporters' Shield and are on the verge of MLS history, so there is no shortage of motivation for this team, who are in a safe spot when it comes to the MLS playoffs.

Houston are without a win on the road this season, scoring multiple goals only once, which will make it challenging against the Sounders, who have scored multiple goals at home in all but two games thus far.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 68.55%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Seattle vs Houston

Seattle Sounders
80.0%
Draw
17.1%
Houston Dynamo
2.9%
35
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Seattle Sounders head coach Brian Schmetzer reacts on May 9, 2021
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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