Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 35.41%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7%) and 1-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Castellon win was 1-0 (13.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
