Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Coruna win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Coruna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (9.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.