Lugo
2 - 1
Mirandes

Barreiro (87' pen., 90+2' pen.)
Venancio (63'), Valentin (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martinez (40')
Djouahra (65'), Jimenez (85'), Rodriguez (88'), Lizoain (90+1')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Mirandes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.06%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Lugo	Draw	Mirandes
30.2%	29.08%	40.72%

Both teams to score 43.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.18%

62.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.66%

82.34%

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.67%

37.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.89%

74.11%

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.7%

30.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.52%

66.48%

Score Analysis

Lugo 30.19%

Mirandes 40.71%

Draw 29.07%

Lugo	Draw	Mirandes
1-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 6.56% 2-0 @ 5.49% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.76% Total : 30.19%	1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.07%	0-1 @ 13.5% 0-2 @ 8.06% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-3 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 0.96% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.37% Total : 40.71%