Segunda Division Gameweek 21
Dec 18, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Pablo Chavarria 51' goal

Malaga vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Dec 11, 2022 1.00pm
UD Ibiza 1 - 1 Malaga
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Ruben Castro

Alaves

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Dec 12, 2022 8.00pm
Alaves 0 - 2 Levante
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Luis Rioja

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 42.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.

Result

Malaga 42.79% (-0.20)
Draw 29.32% (+0.14)
Alaves 27.9% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.09% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.72% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 64.29% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 16.61% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 83.39% (+0.27)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 70.15% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 29.85% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 34.06% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 65.94% (+0.36)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 60% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 40% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 23.35% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 76.65% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Malaga 42.78%
Draw 29.31%
Alaves 27.9%
Malaga
1-0 @ 14.43% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 42.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.22% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 11.94% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.31%
Alaves
0-1 @ 10.94% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.01% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 27.9%

Head to Head

La Liga
May 6, 2018 11.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)
  • Diego Gonzalez 61' yellowcard
  • Roberto Rosales 79' yellowcard
  • goal Manu Garcia 3'
  • yellowcard Adrian Dieguez 34'
  • goal Ermedin Demirovic 68'
  • goal Ibai Gomez 70'
La Liga
Dec 21, 2017 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
  • Manu Garcia 20' yellowcard
  • Ruben Duarte 28' yellowcard
  • Burgui 57' yellowcard
  • Munir El Haddadi 60' goal
  • yellowcard Luis Hernandez 28'
  • yellowcard Javier Ontiveros 28'
  • yellowcard Ignasi Miquel 56'
  • yellowcard Recio 70'
La Liga
Mar 11, 2017 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ignacio Camacho 65' yellowcard
  • Juan Carlos 71' goal
  • Martin Demichelis 76' yellowcard
  • goal Zouhair Feddal 39'
  • yellowcard Zouhair Fedda 56'
  • redcard Zouhair Fedda 72'
  • yellowcard Deyverson 83'
  • goal Edgar Mendez 91'
La Liga
Oct 16, 2016 11.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Deyverson 9' goal
  • Manu Garcia 66' yellowcard
  • Gaizka Toquero Pinedo 76' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 90' redcard
  • Victor Camarasa 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roberto Rosales 58'
  • yellowcard Youssef En-Nesyri 68'
  • yellowcard Juanpi 70'
  • goal Roberto Rosales 85'
  • redcard Juanpi 94'