Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.11% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%) , while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.