Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.61% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.13%) and 0-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%) , while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-0 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.