Serie A
May 3, 2026 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
  • Domenico Berardi 5' goal
  • Woyo Coulibaly 40' yellowcard
  • Luca Lipani 46' yellowcard
  • Armand Laurienté 47' goal
  • Cristian Volpato 59' yellowcard
  • Andrea Pinamonti 84' yellowcard
  • Alieu Fadera 84' yellowcard
  • Alieu Fadera 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zachary Athekame 46'
  • yellowcard Santiago Gimenez 59'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek  59'
  • yellowcard Christian Pulisic 59'
  • yellowcard Samuele Ricci 66'

Sassuolo vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 11.30am
Fiorentina 0 - 0 Sassuolo
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Ismael Kone

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 7.45pm
AC Milan 0 - 0 Juventus
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.61% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.13%) and 0-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%) , while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-0 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Sassuolo 21.61% (-0.68)
Draw 24.61% (-0.24)
AC Milan 53.78% (+0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.72%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.79% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 26.21% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 48.96% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 51.04% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 26.92% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 73.08% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 15.12% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 84.88% (-0.28)

First Half Winner

Sassuolo 20.53%
Draw 42.85%
AC Milan 36.62%

Team To Score First

Sassuolo 32.95% (+0.05)
No Goal 7.52% (-0.12)
AC Milan 59.53% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 52.75%
Equal 8 12.31%
Under 8 34.94%
Over 9 40.7%
Equal 9 12.05%
Under 9 47.25%
Over 10.5 29.92%
Under 10.5 70.08%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 1.5 23.07% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 76.93% (+0.49)
Over 2.5 6.5% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 93.5% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 1.49% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 98.51% (+0.07)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 79.71% (+0.57)
Under 0.5 20.29% (-0.58)
Over 1.5 48.95% (+0.82)
Under 1.5 51.05% (-0.82)
Over 2.5 22.79% (+0.61)
Under 2.5 77.21% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 8.55% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 91.45% (-0.33)

Score analysis

Sassuolo 21.61%
Draw 24.62%
AC Milan 53.79%
Sassuolo
1-0 @ 6.94% (-0.19)
2-1 @ 5.63% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 3.33% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 1.77% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.04% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.48% (-0.07)
Total : 21.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 7.52% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.62%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 11.77% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 10.13% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 9.89% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 5.32% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 5.25% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 2.89% (+0.04)
Other @ 8.54% (+0.33)
Total : 53.79%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Dec 14, 2025 11.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 23' yellowcard
  • Davide Bartesaghi 34' goal
  • Davide Bartesaghi 47' goal
  • goal Ismael Kone 13'
  • yellowcard Alieu Fadera 23'
  • yellowcard Tarik Muharemovic 57'
  • yellowcard Tarik Muharemovic 58'
  • yellowcard Kristian Thorstvedt 66'
  • goal Armand Lauriente 77'
Coppa Italia
Dec 3, 2024 8.00pm
6
1
HT : 4 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Samuel Chukwueze 12' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 17' goal
  • Samuel Chukwueze 21' goal
  • Rafael Leao 23' goal
  • Davide Calabria 56' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 62' goal
  • Filippo Terracciano 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yeferson Paz 39'
  • goal Samuele Mulattieri 59'
  • yellowcard Cas Odenthal 64'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 14, 2024 2.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
  • Andrea Pinamonti 4' goal
  • Armand Lauriente 10' goal
  • Gian Marco Ferrari 19' yellowcard
  • Armand Lauriente 53' goal
  • Ruan 57' yellowcard
  • Malick Thiaw 69' yellowcard
  • goal Rafael Leao 20'
  • goal Luka Jovic 59'
  • yellowcard Andrea Pinamonti 68'
  • goal Noah Okafor 84'
Serie A Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Christian Pulisic 59' goal
  • yellowcard Samu Castillejo 88'
Serie A Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 11.30am
2
5
HT : 1 3
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Olivier Giroud 24' goal
  • Divock Origi 81' goal
  • goal Gregoire Defrel 19'
  • goal Davide Frattesi 21'
  • goal Domenico Berardi 30'
  • goal Armand Lauriente 47'
  • goal Matheus Henrique 79'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore