Serie B | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2022 at 1pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL1 - 1Sudtirol
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Sudtirol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Sudtirol |
43.65% ( -0.16) | 26.54% ( 0.11) | 29.8% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.08% ( -0.39) | 53.92% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.63% ( -0.33) | 75.38% ( 0.33) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( -0.25) | 24.53% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41% ( -0.36) | 59% ( 0.36) |
| Sudtirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% ( -0.16) | 32.87% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.56% ( -0.18) | 69.44% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
SPAL 43.65%
Sudtirol 29.8%
Draw 26.54%
| SPAL | Draw | Sudtirol |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 43.65% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.8% |
