Valencia need to beat Sevilla on the final day and hope that other results go their way if they are to secure a top-seven finish in La Liga.
Los Che are one point behind Getafe in the final Europa League spot, while opponents Sevilla are already assured of Champions League football next season.
Match preview
© Reuters
A disappointing campaign for Valencia could yet have a positive ending, but for that to happen they need to beat Sevilla at the very least.
Getafe, who travel to mid-table Levante on Sunday, are a point better off than Los Che and boast a superior head-to-head record.
Valencia can also catch sixth-placed Real Sociedad, who have a tougher fixture away at Atletico Madrid, so it is very much still all to play for heading into matchday 38.
Voro Gonzalez has been tasked with steadying the ship for Valencia since the club parted company with Albert Celades in June, just nine months into his reign.
Two wins in their last three, most recently holding off already-relegated Espanyol 1-0 through Kevin Gameiro's goal, means that their campaign will go down to the wire.
© Reuters
Sevilla face a stress-free weekend, meanwhile, as they are 10 points clear of fifth-placed Villarreal and will therefore be playing Champions League football again next term.
There is no added reward for finishing third, but Los Nervionenses will no doubt be looking to overtake Atletico - two points better off - to seal their highest league finish since 2009.
Julen Lopetegui's side were held to a goalless draw away at Real Sociedad on Thursday, bringing an end to a four-match winning run in La Liga.
The stalemate extended their unbeaten run to 16 matches in all competitions, and that momentum could come into good use as they have Europa League last-16 tie with Roma to come next month.
Sevilla do not have the best of home records against Valencia, though, going six games without a win and failing to score in four of those matches.
Sevilla's La Liga form: DWWWWWD
Valencia's La Liga form: LLDWLW
Team News
© Reuters
Ever Banega picked up another booking against Sociedad and will serve an automatic suspension for this final-day clash.
Sergio Escudero and Tomas Vaclik are struggling from foot and knee injuries respectively and are considered doubtful.
Winger Lucas Ocampos, who was named among the subs last time out, has been involved in five of Sevilla's last six home league goals.
Valencia are without suspended duo Mouctar Diakhaby and Juame Costa, the latter being shown a straight red card late on against Espanyol.
Fellow left-back Jose Gaya is carrying an injury so Alessandro Florenzi may be asked to fill in out of position.
The visitors are also definitely without long-term absentee Rodrigo Moreno, but Gameiro has scored one and assisted another in his last three games and will lead the line on Sunday.
Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Bounou; Navas, Kounde, Carlos, Reguilon; Gudelj, Jordan; Suso, Vazquez, Ocampos; De Jong
Valencia possible starting lineup:
Cillessen; Correia, Paulista, Guillamon, Florenzi; Kondogbia, Soler; Torres, Lee, Guedes; Gameiro
We say: Sevilla 3-2 Valencia
Sevilla are unbeaten in their last 10 home league matches, while Valencia are winless in 10 on their travels. The two previous final-day clashes between the sides were high-scoring affairs and we can see this one going the same way.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 62.67%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.
