Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 72.86%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for NK Domzale had a probability of 11.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a NK Domzale win it was 1-2 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.