MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 12:01:35| >> :120:57414:57414:
[monks data]
Attendance: 31,478
Southampton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 27
Feb 22, 2020 at 3pm UK
 
Aston Villa logo

2-0

Long (8'), Armstrong (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Southampton vs. Aston Villa - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Southampton's Premier League meeting with Aston Villa at St Mary's on Saturday, including predictions, team news and lineups.

Southampton welcome Aston Villa to St Mary's on Saturday in the Premier League, with both sides looking to steer themselves away from the relegation zone.

The Saints lost their last game to Burnley in bizarre circumstances, while Villa suffered a last-minute defeat to Tottenham Hotspur on Sunday.


Match preview

Danny Ings scores Southampton's second on January 11, 2020© Reuters

Southampton have enjoyed an impressive revival in recent weeks under Ralph Hassenhuttl, but are still not totally guaranteed of safety at this stage.

Consecutive losses mean they are just seven points clear of 18th-placed West Ham United, while they have won just once in their last four league fixtures.

They have also picked up just 11 points at St Mary's all season, winning three times - a statistic they will be hoping to improve on this Saturday.

Southampton have also conceded more goals at home than any other side in the division, with 30 goals scored against them at St Mary's in 13 matches.

However, their away form has been outstanding, with one of their six wins on the road coming against Aston Villa just before Christmas.

Aston Villa boss Dean Smith on February 1, 2020© Reuters

Dean Smith will have been livid after watching his side concede three sloppy goals in their loss to Spurs at Villa Park on Sunday.

A Bjorn Engels error allowed Heung-Min Son to seal the win, but Villa also showed some good attacking play and still scored twice against one of the league's best sides.

Tyrone Mings will return to the starting lineup ahead of Saturday's meeting which should help bring more security at the back, but the absence of Wesley and John McGinn has been hurting their attacking play.

Villa have picked up just eight points on the road all season, managing two wins and conceding 26 goals.

Southampton Premier League form: WWLWLL
Southampton form (all competitions): LWDLLL

Aston Villa Premier League form: WLDWLL
Aston Villa form (all competitions): LDWWLL


Team News

Southampton's Nathan Redmond celebrates after scoring against Burnley on February 2, 2019© Reuters

Southampton will be without attacking players Nathan Redmond and Sofiane Boufal on Saturday, with Redmond unlikely to feature again until next month.

Boufal's absence is not expected to be so long-term, while loan signing Kyle Walker-Peters has also been ruled out.

Jan Bednarek could return to the starting 11 after being left on the bench last time out.

Tom Heaton and Wesley will not be seen again this season after both suffered long-term knee injuries last month.

McGinn is closing in on a return but will still not be seen for a few more weeks, while Keinan Davis and Jed Steer are also out.

Southampton possible starting lineup:
McCarthy; Valery, Stephens, Bednarek, Bertrand; Armstrong, Ward-Prowse, Hojbjerg, Djenepo; Ings, Long

Aston Villa possible starting lineup:
Reina; Konsa, Mings, Hause; Guilbert, Nakamba, Luiz, Targett; El Ghazi, Samatta, Grealish


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Southampton 2-2 Aston Villa

In a meeting between the two sides with the Premier League's worst defensive records, goals will be expected. Southampton have struggled at home all season and Villa are in desperate need of a results, so a draw looks most likely.



ID:390298: cacheID:390298:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:7708:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 48.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for had a probability of 25.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a win it was 0-1 (8.84%).


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Aston Villa's James Chester applauds the fans on November 4, 2017
Read Next:
James Chester linked with MLS move?
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!