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Southampton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 8
Nov 6, 2020 at 8pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Newcastle logo

Southampton
2 - 0
Newcastle

Adams (7'), Armstrong (82')
Romeu (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernandez (43'), Longstaff (90')

Preview: Southampton vs. Newcastle United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Newcastle United, including team news and predicted lineups.

Southampton and Newcastle United will both be aiming to build on respective victories in the Premier League when they meet at St Mary's Stadium for Friday evening's showdown.

Southampton came out on top in a seven-goal thriller with Aston Villa at the weekend, while Newcastle condemned Everton to their second defeat of the season last time out.


Match preview

Southampton's Danny Ings celebrates scoring against Aston Villa in the Premier League on November 1, 2020© Reuters

Not even an imminent second lockdown can dampen the spirits of the Southampton faithful at the moment, with the Saints now boasting four wins from their last five in the Premier League - a tally which no other team can better.

A James Ward-Prowse-inspired Southampton picked up all three points against an equally-impressive Aston Villa side last Sunday, with the 26-year-old's two sweetly-struck free-kicks coming after Jannik Vestergaard had opened the scoring and before Danny Ings rifled in a thunderous effort in the second half.

However, having lost Jan Bednarek to injury at the start of the second 45, Villa notched up a trio of goals against the Saints - with Ollie Watkins and Jack Grealish both netting in added time - but Ralph Hasenhuttl's Southampton nevertheless held on for a thrilling victory which has lifted them up to fifth in the table.

The South Coast outfit have also triumphed over Burnley, West Bromwich Albion and Everton over the past few weeks, although their weekend victory over Villa was marred by the loss of star striker Ings, who is now set for at least a month on the sidelines as he prepares to undergo knee surgery.

Southampton are sure to struggle a bit more for goals without the 28-year-old leading the line, but Hasenhuttl will no doubt be urging his players to not let the loss of Ings affect them as the Saints bid to pick up where they left off, with Newcastle also looking to claim another three points after an impressive victory over Everton in gameweek seven.

Newcastle United's Callum Wilson celebrates scoring against Everton in the Premier League on November 1, 2020© Reuters

With Everton starting to slip away from the top of the rankings after such a bright start to the campaign, Newcastle took advantage of the Toffees' troubles as they claimed all three points against Carlo Ancelotti's men last Sunday.

As expected, Dominic Calvert-Lewin found the back of the net for Everton once again, but it was another English striker who won the day as Callum Wilson's double took his tally to six for the league season and propelled Newcastle to their third win of the 2020-21 top-flight campaign.

Everton had previously lost to Southampton prior to their trip to St James' Park, so Newcastle will certainly have to be at the top of their game if they are to replicate such a performance and make the long journey to the South Coast count for something, although the Magpies are yet to taste defeat on the road this season.

Recent history suggests that the Magpies could certainly pick up a second win on the bounce this Friday; Steve Bruce's side did the double over Southampton last season and the Saints have not overcome their opponents since the 2015-16 campaign.

Southampton Premier League form: LWWDWW

Newcastle United Premier League form: LDWLDW
Newcastle United form (all competitions): DWWLDW



Team News

Southampton's Danny Ings goes down injured against Aston Villa in the Premier League on November 1, 2020© Reuters

As mentioned, Ings is expected to be out for up to six weeks with the knee injury sustained against Villa, Hasenhuttl confirmed, which could see Theo Walcott thrust into a role up top alongside Che Adams.

Nathan Redmond should come back into the starting lineup if Walcott is indeed moved further forward, but Shane Long and Michael Obafemi will both hope to be given the chance to impress.

However, Hasenhuttl has revealed that Bednarek, Ryan Bertrand and Ibrahima Diallo are all doubts for the weekend, while Mohammed Salisu may not be fit enough to make his debut just yet.

As for the visitors, Bruce is still without his quartet of absentees in Jonjo Shelvey, Martin Dubravka, Matt Ritchie and Dwight Gayle, but the Magpies boss has no fresh concerns from the bout with Everton.

Ryan Fraser and Isaac Hayden both made appearances off the bench last time out and will hope to force their way into the starting lineup, but Bruce is unlikely to make many alterations from the triumph over Everton.

Southampton possible starting lineup:
McCarthy; Walker-Peters, Vestergaard, Stephens, Bertrand; Redmond, Ward-Prowse, Romeu, Armstrong; Walcott, Adams

Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Darlow; Lascelles, Schar, Fernandez; Murphy, Hayden, Hendrick, Lewis; Saint-Maximin, Wilson, Fraser


SM words green background

We say: Southampton 2-1 Newcastle United

Despite losing the prolific Ings for the next few weeks, last weekend's victory at Villa proved that Southampton have goals in abundance in other areas of the pitch, and they can feel confident of chalking up a couple of strikes against a Newcastle side without a clean sheet since the first gameweek of the season. Hasenhuttl's men are enjoying a terrific spell of form and we expect them to record a third consecutive victory here, but Newcastle are sure to make it a difficult evening for them nonetheless.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Friday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Newcastle?

Southampton
65.4%
Draw
17.3%
Newcastle
17.3%
162
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