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[monks data]
Spain national football team
International Friendly
Mar 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Iceland national football team

Spain
5 - 0
Iceland

Morata (37', 40' pen.), Pino (47'), Sarabia (61', 73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Preview: Spain vs. Iceland - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Spain and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Spain will be looking to make it four straight wins in all competitions when they tackle Iceland in an international friendly on Tuesday evening.

La Roja will enter the contest off the back of a 2-1 victory over Albania on Saturday, while Iceland played out a 1-1 draw with Finland on the same night.


Match preview

Spain coach Luis Enrique pictured on June 14, 2021© Reuters

Spain recorded a 2-1 victory over Albania in Saturday's friendly at RCDE Stadium, with Dani Olmo coming off the bench to register the winning goal in the 90th minute, and La Roja will now be bidding to make it four straight successes in all competitions when they host Iceland.

Luis Enrique's side are building towards the start of their UEFA Nations League campaign, which begins against Portugal at the start of June, but the national team will also already be thinking about the 2022 World Cup.

Spain comfortably secured their spot at this year's competition by finishing top of Group B, collecting 19 points from eight matches, and they will be looking to make an impression at the tournament for the first time since winning it in 2010, having been knocked out in the group stage in 2014 and round of 16 in 2018.

La Roja reached the semi-finals of Euro 2020, and a hugely talented crop of youngsters are starting to emerge, suggesting that the future is bright for the national team.

Enrique will view Tuesday's friendly with Iceland as another valuable exercise in terms of preparation, with a number of players looking to make a positive impression to cement their spots in the squad for the World Cup.

Iceland coach Arnar Vidarsson pictured on March 28, 2021© Reuters

Iceland, meanwhile, played out a 1-1 draw with Finland on Saturday, with Birkir Bjarnason on the scoresheet in the 38th minute after Teemu Pukki had opened the scoring for Finland.

Arnar Vidarsson's side are winless in their last five matches in all competitions, with their last success coming at home to Liechtenstein back in October; since then, they have drawn three and lost two of their five games, three of which have been friendlies against Uganda, Korea Republic and Finland.

Iceland will not be present at the 2022 World Cup, having finished fifth in Group J, collecting just nine points from their 10 matches during a disappointing campaign.

The national team famously played at the 2018 World Cup, being eliminated in the group stage, while they also reached the quarter-finals of Euro 2016 before failing to qualify for last summer's European Championship.

Iceland will currently be looking ahead to their UEFA Nations League campaign, which starts against Israel at the start of June, and a positive result in this match would certainly boost confidence.

Spain International Friendlies form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W

Spain form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Iceland International Friendlies form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D

Iceland form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D



Team News

Dani Olmo of Spain reacts in July 2021© Reuters

Spain boss Enrique handed a debut to David Raya against Albania, with the Brentford goalkeeper playing the full 90 minutes, but Unai Simon is likely to come into the side for this match, as fellow stopper Robert Sanchez has been ruled out after testing positive for COVID-19.

There will be wholesale changes from the side that started on Saturday, with Enrique set to make full use of his squad, so the likes of Carlos Soler, Jordi Alba, Olmo and Cesar Azpilicueta should all start.

Marcos Llorente and Koke could also be handed midfield roles, while Aymeric Laporte, who did not play a minute against Albania, is expected to feature in the middle of the defence.

As for Iceland, head coach Vidarsson will also make use of his squad in this match, but the bulk of the side that started against Finland could again take to the field.

Bjarnason, who is comfortably the most experienced player in the squad, was on the scoresheet in Saturday's friendly and should retain his spot in midfield.

There are plenty of options for change in the forward positions, but Arnor Sigurdsson should keep his spot, while Jon Dadi Bodvarsson is likely to lead the line once again.

Spain possible starting lineup:
Simon; Azpilicueta, Laporte, Torres, Alba; Soler, Llorente, Koke; Olmo, Morata, F Torres

Iceland possible starting lineup:
Runarsson; Sampsted, Bjarnason, Gretarsson, Magnusson; Helgason, Bjarnason, Thordarson; A Sigurdsson, Bodvarsson, Johannesson


SM words green background

We say: Spain 2-1 Iceland

Iceland will certainly provide competitive opposition for Spain, who were not at their best against Albania on Saturday. Enrique is expected to make wholesale changes to his side for this match, but La Roja should still emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Spain vs Iceland

Spain
85.7%
Draw
12.5%
Iceland
1.8%
56
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Manchester United goalkeeper David de Gea pictured in August 2021
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