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Sporting Kansas
Major League Soccer
Mar 26, 2022 at 11pm UK
Livestrong Sporting Park
Real Salt Lake

Kansas
1 - 0
Salt Lake

Russell (81')
Espinoza (40'), Sweat (45+1'), Walter (51'), Duke (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Loffelsend (7'), Brody (29')

Preview: Sporting Kansas City vs. Real Salt Lake - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

On Saturday, Sporting Kansas City will have revenge on their mind when they host Real Salt Lake in Major League Soccer action at Children's Mercy Park.

RSL shocked KC in the 2021 postseason, scoring twice in the final 18 minutes plus stoppage time, winning 2-1 and ending the Wizards hope of a third MLS Cup.


Match preview

Sporting Kansas City midfielder Roger Espinoza (15) reacts after scoring a goal against the Chicago Fire during the second half at Soldier Field on March 19, 2022© Reuters

One of the most consistent regular season sides in MLS have looked like a shadow of their former selves in the early stages of the 2022 campaign.

After four matches, Peter Vermes continues to look for answers, as his veteran group have struggled to keep pace with some of the more youthful MLS sides, conceding the second-most goals (eight) in the Western Conference.

We are unlikely to see any panic from this team, who have been around the league for a long time, but at the moment, we have not seen a lot of positive attacking play from them.

Last year the Wizards were often bailed out by some outstanding finishing from their wingers, who made some extraordinary contributions, but that kind of production is difficult to put up consistently.

KC have had their share of scoring chances early on, putting together 115 successful passes in the final third, but with only three goals, it may be time for them to be a little greedier in front of goal.

Vermes is not afraid to switch things up, using 17 different starters already this season, which is tied for the second-most in the league behind only the New England Revolution.

The departure of llie Sanchez in midfield has been a massive blow to this side, who have struggled to slow down opposing teams in transition throughout the year.

Major League Soccer referee Tori Penso shows the red card to Nashville SC midfielder Dax McCarty (6) in the closing minutes of their game against the Real Salt Lake at Rio Tinto Stadium on March 19, 2022© Reuters

Salt Lake surprised everyone in the 2021 postseason, and they are defying the odds early on this year, going unbeaten after four matches, currently in a three-way tie with the Philadelphia Union and Los Angeles FC for the best record in MLS.

Despite conceding 19 shots on target in their opening four games, they have only allowed three goals, which is a good sign given the quality of the opponents that they have faced, edging the Seattle Sounders (1-0), New England Revolution (3-2) and Nashville SC (2-1).

For the first time since August 2019, RSL have won three matches in a row, quite the achievement when considering who has been missing from their lineup.

Pablo Mastroeni has put together a patient approach and a style built on catching the opposition on the break, as his players rarely seem to have the ball for long stretches, averaging just over 44% possession in their first four games.

Possessing the ball is one thing, although it means nothing unless you can make it count, and RSL made the most of their opportunities a week ago, scoring on both of their efforts on target against Nashville.

Sometimes having an exemplary character and mentality can be a determining factor, and that seems to be the case for Claret and Cobalt early on this year, as they have struggled with combination play, while they are not very compact, which has made them easy to break down.

Some outstanding individual efforts in attack and in goal have rescued them plenty of times in the early portion of this season, though it remains to be seen if that can be a consistent recipe for success.

Sporting Kansas City Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Real Salt Lake Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Sporting Kansas City head coach Peter Vermes reacts in the second half against the Colorado Rapids at Dick's Sporting Goods Park on March 12, 2022© Reuters

KC defender Graham Zusi leads the league in touches with 374, Andreu Fontas is second in successful passes in MLS (289), while Roger Espinoza became the third-oldest player in club history to score a goal, as the 35-year-old notched their only tally in a 3-1 defeat to the Chicago Fire last weekend.

Vermes's side have been hit hard with injuries, as Gadi Kinda and Alan Pulido are out after each undergoing knee surgery, Jose Mauri remains unavailable, Uri Rosell and Johnny Russell are questionable with hamstring issues, while it is unknown if Daniel Salloi and Khiry Shelton will be ready to go after suffering calf injuries.

Those are some significant losses when you consider that Russell, Salloi, Pulido, Shelton and Kinda have combined for 72.9% of KC's goals since 2020 (70 of 96).

Kansas City winger Marinos Tzionis will not be available for this encounter, as he will be on international duty with Cyprus.

Speaking of significant losses, RSL have had their share of key players missing too, as Zack Farnsworth has a left ankle problem, Nick Besler has a nose injury, Bret Halsey continues to nurse a right ankle issue and first-choice goalkeeper David Ochoa is out with a right quad injury.

Their leading goalscorer from a year ago, Damir Kreilach, has not played since the opening game and is questionable to return this weekend with a left calf issue, Rubio Rubin is a question mark with a left groin problem, Sergio Cordova has a right knee injury and Maikel Chang missed the previous match due to concussion protocol.

Last Saturday, RSL defender Tate Schmitt scored the game-winner for a second match running, Bode Davis made his MLS debut, coming on as a second-half substitute, and Zac MacMath made seven saves to preserve the victory, giving him a total of 16 stops so far this season, the third-most among MLS keepers.

Justin Meram has been called-up to the Iraqi national team as they look to keep their slim hopes of qualifying for the World Cup alive.

Sporting Kansas City possible starting lineup:
Melia; Isimat-Mirin, Fontas, Rad, Zusi; Hernandez, Walter, Espinoza, Duke; Davis, Vujnovic

Real Salt Lake possible starting lineup:
MacMath; Holt, Glad, Herrera; Brody, Luiz, Caldwell, Schmitt; Ruiz, Menendez; Wood


SM words green background

We say: Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Real Salt Lake

Injuries have decimated these teams early on this year, but it has been RSL who have found a way to rise above it, while KC have crumbled.

Even though there has been an element of good fortune to their early success, Salt Lake still look a lot more dynamic going forward than the Wizards, who have been rather predictable.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:481491:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect12385:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 20.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Kansas vs Salt Lake

Sporting Kansas City
30.8%
Draw
15.4%
Real Salt Lake
53.8%
26
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New York City forward Talles Magno (43), center, is congratulated after scoring his second goal of the game in the second half against Santos de Guapiles at Banc of California Stadium on February 24, 2022
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3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
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6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
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8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
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1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
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3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
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13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
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