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Southampton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 2
Sep 20, 2020 at 12pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Spurs logo

Southampton
2 - 5
Spurs

Ings (32', 90' pen.)
Romeu (5'), Adams (39'), Bertrand (44'), Stephens (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Heung-min (45+2', 47', 64', 73'), Kane (82')
Ndombele (45+1'), Doherty (79'), Lo Celso (90+3')

Preview: Southampton vs. Tottenham Hotspur - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League fixture between Southampton and Tottenham Hotspur, including team news and injury news.

Southampton and Tottenham Hotspur square off at St Mary's on Sunday afternoon having both suffered defeat on the opening weekend of the new Premier League season.

A day after the Saints succumbed by a 1-0 scoreline at Crystal Palace, Spurs suffered the same fate at home to Everton.


Match preview

Tottenham Hotspur manager Jose Mourinho pictured on September 13, 2020© Reuters

While much of the talk this week has been regarding the return of Gareth Bale, Jose Mourinho and his players have been focused on trying to negotiate their first test in the Europa League qualifying rounds against Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Despite naming a stronger side than expected, Mourinho watched his side have to overcome a one-goal deficit in Bulgaria to move closer to the group stages.

Their victory has added yet another fixture to a punishing schedule which sees Spurs face away games at the Saints, Leyton Orient and Macedonian side Shkendija in the space of five days.

On paper, the North Londoners are favourites for each contest, but Mourinho needs a reaction from his squad after two disappointing performances since the beginning of the campaign.

Although the Portuguese was critical of his team's fitness after the 1-0 defeat against Everton, their upcoming list of matches should give each member of the group a chance to get up to speed.

As far as Southampton are concerned, Ralph Hasenhuttl has been left perplexed by his team's less-than-inspiring displays during defeats to Crystal Palace and Brentford.

Having ended the last campaign on a high, most people expected the South Coast side to continue their momentum as they bid to break into the top half of the standings.

Despite it being early days, Hasenhuttl quickly needs to witness his side show a greater threat in all areas, not just from last season's top goalscorer Danny Ings.

To add to his frustration, the Austrian has revealed that big-money arrival Mohammed Salisu will not slot into the centre of the backline until the back end of October.

Southampton Premier League form: L
Southampton form (all competitions): LL

Tottenham Hotspur Premier League form: L
Tottenham Hotspur form (all competitions): LW


Team News

Southampton's Nathan Redmond celebrates scoring against Wolves on April 13, 2019© Reuters

Having picked up a knock against Brentford, it is unclear whether Nathan Redmond will retain his place on the flank.

Shane Long and Michael Obafemi are pushing to replace Che Adams in attack, while Jannik Vestergaard is an option for a recall in defence.

Bale and Sergio Reguilon have not been signed in time to make their debuts for Spurs this weekend.

Mourinho is likely to make several changes, however, with Tanguy Ndombele and Erik Lamela both in contention for a start in midfield.

Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg will hope to feature against his former side.

Southampton possible starting lineup:
McCarthy; Walker-Peters, Stephens, Vestergaard, Bertrand; Smallbone, Ward-Prowse, Romeu, Djenepo; Ings, Long

Tottenham Hotspur possible starting lineup:
Lloris; Doherty, Alderweireld, Dier, Davies; Ndombele, Hojbjerg; Moura, Lamela, Son; Kane


SM words green background

We say: Southampton 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur

Given the short turnaround, most Spurs supporters will not necessarily expect much from their side when they take to the pitch this weekend. However, they have the quality within their ranks to claim a share of the spoils against opposition who are not firing on all cylinders.


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.


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Southampton manager Ralph Hasenhuttl pictured on June 19, 2020
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3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
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11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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