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[monks data]
Attendance: 10,070
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 36
Feb 29, 2020 at 3pm UK
 
Stoke logo

1-1

Collins (90' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vokes (9')

Preview: Luton Town vs. Stoke City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole provides team news, predicted lineups and a full preview of Saturday's Championship game between Luton Town and Stoke City.

Luton Town play host to Stoke City on Saturday afternoon with the opportunity to move within two points of the Potters in the Championship standings.

Meanwhile, Stoke, who sit just one point above the bottom three, could drop into the relegation zone with defeat at Kenilworth Road.


Match preview

Stoke City boss Michael O'Neill on February 15, 2020© Reuters

Michael O'Neill will be relatively content with Stoke's recent form, collecting 14 points from their last nine outings at the second tier.

However, despite having also kept two clean sheets in a row, the Potters remain at risk of falling into the bottom three courtesy of the results of the teams below them.

With a run of six successive matches against teams in and around them in the table coming up, O'Neill knows that maintaining their current form may make all of the difference come the end of the season.

The Staffordshire-based outfit will be visiting Luton on the back of three matches without success on their travels, although avoiding defeat at in-form Blackburn Rovers in midweek will go down as a point gained by O'Neill and his players.

They may have the same feeling should they register a similar result against their next opponents, who have won three of their last four fixtures in the Championship.

At one stage, the Hatters looked cut adrift at the bottom of the standings, only for triumphs over Sheffield Wednesday, Middlesbrough and Brentford to put the club within four points of getting out of the bottom three.

Their resolve at the back has played a big part in their recent improvement, with two clean sheets being recorded and just four goals being conceded in as many outings.

While Graeme Jones will not get carried away, he will acknowledge that the next two games against Stoke and Wigan Athletic could define their season one way or another.

Luton Town Championship form: LLWWLW

Stoke City Championship form: LWLLWL


Team News

Luton boss Graeme Jones on February 15, 2020© Reuters

After the win on Tuesday night and having one more rest day than Stoke, Luton boss Jones may opt to retain the same starting lineup.

Although Danny Hylton is pushing for a recall, Harry Cornick and James Collins are likely to begin the game in attack.

Given the shorter turnaround, O'Neill may consider changes to his Stoke XI, especially in his five-man midfield.

Jordan Cousins and Mame Biram Diouf could be recalled to freshen up the team, potentially at the expense of Jordan Thompson and Tom Ince.

The backline should remain the same, leaving Aston Villa loanee James Chester to remain among the replacements.

Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Sluga; Cranie, Pearson, Carter-Vickers, Potts; Mpanzu, Rea, Tunnicliffe; Berry; Cornick, Collins

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Butland; Smith, Batth, Collins, Martins Indi; Biram Diouf, Allen, Cousins, Clucas, Powell; Campbell


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Luton Town 1-1 Stoke City

With both teams having avoided defeat in their last outing, they will be confident of making further progress at the weekend. That could result in a hard-fought contest which ends with the clubs settling for a share of the spoils.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%).


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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
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8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
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