MX23RW : Monday, November 4 18:26:59| >> :120:7481:7481:
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Reading logo
Championship | Gameweek 11
Nov 7, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Madejski Stadium
Stoke logo

Reading
0 - 3
Stoke

FT(HT: 0-2)
Campbell (23'), Fletcher (35'), Brown (90+4')
Thompson (4'), McClean (86')

Preview: Reading vs. Stoke City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Reading and Stoke City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Championship leaders Reading welcome Stoke City to the Madejski Stadium on Saturday afternoon having suffered back-to-back defeats.

Meanwhile, the Potters head into the fixture with the Royals sitting in 11th position after losing two of their last three games.


Match preview

Veljko Paunovic pictured in March 2019© Reuters

Ahead of meetings with Coventry City and Preston North End, Reading boss Veljko Paunovic would have had high hopes of his side making it eight victories from nine matches this season.

Such a return would have left the Royals nine points clear at the top of the standings, but two defeats and conceding six goals have put a different complexion on matters.

Although Reading still sit three points clear of the chasing pack, losing out 3-0 at home to Preston means that Paunovics's squad have lost all momentum heading into their next fixture.

With two thirds of the goals which they have conceded this season coming in the most recent double-header, Paunovic must now decide whether to place less emphasis on an attack which has the best record in the division.

While there is an argument that the international break is coming at the right time, a third successive setback would leave a negative feeling around the club ahead of the trip to promotion rivals Bournemouth on November 21.

As far as Stoke are concerned, it has been a case of one step forward and one step back in recent weeks after failing to build on their recent victories.

Despite recording 10 points from their last half-a-dozen encounters, Michael O'Neill's team have failed to register back-to-back wins, leaving the club back down in mid-table.

O'Neill felt that decisions from the officials contributed to their 3-2 reverse at Watford earlier this week, although the game continued a trend of his defence looking far less resolute than they were during the opening weeks of the season.

Stoke remain just seven points adrift of their next opponents, providing them with the opportunity to move to within touching distance of top spot before the international break.

Reading Championship form: DWWWLL

Stoke City Championship form: WDWLWL


Team News

Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill pictured on July 4, 2020© Reuters

O'Neill may revert back to his previous 3-4-3 formation after Stoke's setback at Vicarage Road.

The Northern Irishman would theoretically be able to select the same 11 players, although Josh Tymon is an alternative at left wing-back.

Reading manager Paunovic is expected to hand a recall to Andy Yiadom, a move which would lead to Tomas Esteves dropping down to the substitutes' bench.

Liam Moore, Ovie Ejaria and Yakou Meite are all in line to return to the squad after missing the last fixture through injury.

Reading possible starting lineup:
Cabral; Yiadom, Morrison, Moore, Richards; Rinomhota, Laurent; Olise, Ejaria, Meite; Joao

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Gunn; Batth, Souttar, Fox; Smith, Mikel, Thompson, McClean; Powell; Campbell, Fletcher


SM words green background

We say: Reading 1-2 Stoke City

With Reading now looking fragile in defence, a fixture with a physical Stoke side is far from ideal. Although the home side can only improve after Wednesday's defeat to Preston, we expect the visitors to battle their way to the three points.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Stoke City?

Reading
67.7%
Draw
6.5%
Stoke City
25.8%
31
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Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill pictured on July 4, 2020
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