MX23RW : Friday, November 8 09:53:09| >> :120:12237:12237:
[monks data]
Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 4
Oct 4, 2020 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Birmingham logo

Stoke
1 - 1
Birmingham

Powell (86')
Chester (56'), Fox (83'), Clucas (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dean (65')
Clayton (87')

Preview: Stoke City vs. Birmingham City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship fixture between Stoke City and Birmingham City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Stoke City face West Midlands opposition for the second time in three days as they welcome Birmingham City to the bet365 Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Blues make the short trip to the Potteries having put together a three-match unbeaten streak in the Championship since the arrival of Aitor Karanka.


Match preview

Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill pictured on July 4, 2020© Reuters

When Stoke succumbed to a 2-0 defeat at home to Bristol City last month, Stoke fans would have inevitably had concerns about their future prospects.

However, that has proven to be a minor blip, with Stoke registering three wins in succession and taking their clean-sheet count for the season to six.

Two of their victories this campaign have come versus Premier League opposition on away territory, the latest being against Aston Villa on Thursday night.

Michael O'Neill will be placing more focus on making headway up the Championship standings, but setting up an EFL Cup last-eight showdown with Tottenham Hotspur is something to look forward to later in the year.

Birmingham have been progressing on a similar trajectory to their next opponents, conceding just two goals during their four matches in all competitions.

The second of those came at home to Rotherham United last weekend, only for the Blues to instantly respond with an equaliser which preserved their unbeaten record.

The bounce-back point would have impressed Karanka, but the Spaniard will be the first to admit that his side have to offer more in the final third of the pitch.

While two goals have been conceded at the back, the same amount have been netted further forward, and Karanka must decide whether partnering Scott Hogan with Lukas Jutkiewicz will prove to be an effective strategy in future games.

Stoke City Championship form: DLW
Stoke City form (all competitions): DWLWWW

Birmingham City Championship form: WDD
Birmingham City form (all competitions): LWDD


Team News

Stoke City forward Tyrese Campbell celebrates scoring against Huddersfield Town on January 1, 2020© Reuters

Although Sam Vokes has put himself in contention for a recall, Tyrese Campbell may partner Steven Fletcher in attack.

Nick Powell could regain his league place, but Danny Batth will remain among the replacements due to the form of Harry Souttar.

With Stoke using a back three, Karanka may decide to stick with Jutkiewicz and Hogan in the final third.

The Spaniard is also coming under pressure to hand a first start to former Athletic Bilbao man Mikel San Jose.

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Davies; Chester, Souttar, Martins Indi; Smith, Clucas, Powell, Mikel, Fox; Fletcher, Campbell

Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Etheridge; Colin, Dean, Friend, Pedersen; Sanchez, Clayton, Sunjic, Bela; Hogan, Jutkiewicz


SM words green background

We say: Stoke City 1-0 Birmingham City

Has there ever been a game which will receive as many goalless predictions as this one? Probably not. However, we are going to back the home side to again prevail by the narrowest of scorelines, potentially ending Birmingham's resistance during the closing quarter.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data


ID:416798:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect6077:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

Who will win Sunday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Birmingham City?

Stoke City
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Birmingham City
0.0%
0
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Aston Villa manager Dean Smith pictured on September 24, 2020
Read Next:
Aston Villa boss Dean Smith rues "missed opportunity" in EFL Cup
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland149322391430
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd149321871128
3Leeds UnitedLeeds147522291326
4Burnley146621761124
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom14572148622
6Millwall146441712522
7Watford147162222022
8Middlesbrough146351816221
9Swansea CitySwansea14545119219
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn145451616019
11Bristol City144731819-119
12Norwich CityNorwich144642320318
13Derby CountyDerby145361818018
14Stoke CityStoke145361718-118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds145361724-718
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd144551717017
17Coventry CityCoventry144371819-115
18Hull City143651518-315
19Luton TownLuton144371621-515
20Preston North EndPreston143651420-615
21Cardiff CityCardiff144371320-715
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth144371425-1115
23Queens Park RangersQPR141761223-1110
24Portsmouth141671327-149


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!