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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
bet365 Stadium
Blackpool

Stoke
0 - 1
Blackpool


Baker (52'), Vrancic (59'), Harwood-Bellis (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bowler (86')
James (33'), Madine (90+6'), Connolly (90+8')

Preview: Stoke City vs. Blackpool - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Stoke City and Blackpool will square off in the Championship on Saturday afternoon knowing that only a win will do if they want to remain in the promotion race.

As it stands, the two teams are 10 and nine points adrift of the playoff positions having struggled for consistency since the turn of the year.


Match preview

Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill looks on on March 1, 2022© Reuters

Few people could argue with the standard of Stoke's business during the January transfer window as Michael O'Neill attempted to shake the club into action.

Initially, it appeared that a revival was very much on the cards, but Stoke have failed to win any of their last four matches since a 3-0 victory over Swansea City.

The Potters, who have now prevailed in just two of their last 12 fixtures, are now down in 15th position, realistically needing to win 10 of their remaining 13 games to stay in the playoff hunt.

Stoke gave a solid account of themselves in the FA Cup fifth round on Tuesday, but the 2-1 defeat at Crystal Palace was their third reverse by that scoreline in a row.

The Staffordshire outfit have lost four of their last six fixtures at the bet365 Stadium having previously only suffered two setbacks in 11 attempts.

Blackpool's Neil Critchley after the match on February 12, 2022© Reuters

Having effectively already guaranteed their second-tier status for another 12 months, Blackpool can afford to go all out for wins during the final period of the season.

A return of 15 points from nine games since the turn of the year has gone under the radar, their latest win over Reading coming by a 4-1 scoreline.

Neil Critchley has worked wonders at Bloomfield Road, but both he and his squad share a desire to really kick on, starting by achieving a top-10 finish after they were previously fancied for relegation.

Blackpool have scored in each of their last 12 matches in the Championship, although that still only gives them the joint 15th-best attacking record.

Shayne Lavery scored his eighth Championship goal of the campaign last weekend to make him the leading marksman for the Seasiders.

Stoke City Championship form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L

Stoke City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L

Blackpool Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W



Team News

Stoke City's Jacob Brown celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 28, 2022© Reuters

Stoke will have to make do without defender Morgan Fox, who is serving a suspension for his red card against Bournemouth last weekend.

Josh Tymon should feature at left wing-back in his place, but the Potters are boosted by the return of Lewis Baker after he was cup-tied for the Palace match.

Jacob Brown is expected to start in attack alongside one of Nick Powell, Josh Maja or Tyrese Campbell.

Lavery is in line to return to the Blackpool XI, possibly getting the nod over Jerry Yates.

Barring any fitness issues, the rest of the team should stay the same with Critchley's team having had a spare midweek.

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Bonham; Moore, Jagielka, Harwood-Bellis; Smith, Allen, Baker, Thompson, Tymon; Brown, Powell

Blackpool possible starting lineup:
Grimshaw; Lawrence-Gabriel, Ekpiteta, Thorniley, Sterling; Bowler, Dougall, Stewart, Hamilton; Yates, Madine


SM words green background

We say: Stoke City 2-2 Blackpool

With no threat of relegation, both clubs may as well throw caution to the wind in this contest, and it should make for an entertaining fixture. However, with the two sides having struggled to get over the line at times, do not be surprised if this encounter ends all square.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Stoke vs Blackpool

Stoke City
52.2%
Draw
26.1%
Blackpool
21.7%
23
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