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Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Sep 25, 2021 at 6pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Lille

Strasbourg
1 - 2
Lille

Sissoko (75')
Diallo (19'), Djiku (38'), Le Marchand (38'), Ajorque (83'), Stephan (88')
Thomasson (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
David (23', 57' pen.)
Grbic (70'), Djalo (78'), Xeka (81'), Mandava (90+1')

Preview: Strasbourg vs. Lille - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Ligue 1 champions Lille will be looking to build on their narrow midweek win against Reims when they travel to the Stade de la Meinau to face Strasbourg on Saturday evening.

Meanwhile, the visitors, who sit just two points above Les Dogues, are hoping they can claim their fourth top-flight victory in five matches.


Match preview

Strasbourg players celebrate against Paris Saint-Germain on August 14, 2021© Reuters

Strasbourg claimed their first away victory of the campaign when they beat 10-man Lens by a narrow 1-0 scoreline on Wednesday night.

The hosts were reduced to 10 men just five minutes into the second half after Kevin Danso's high challenge on Anthony Caci. The deadlock was then broken in the 67th minute by Strasbourg striker Ludovic Ajorque, who headed in from close range, with the visitors holding on to claim their third win of the season.

After a slow start to the new season, Julien Stephan's men have claimed nine points from their last 12 available, which has helped them climb into the top half of the table and just two points off the top four.

Strasbourg may find it difficult to claim another three points on Saturday, as they face a Lille outfit who they have failed to beat in each of their last six meetings.

The Racers lost their home fixture against Les Dogues 3-0 last season, but having claimed seven of their 10 points on home soil so far this term, Stephan's men can take confidence into this weekend's game in front of their own fans.

Lille coach Jocelyn Gourvennec gives instructions to his players on September 14, 2021© Reuters

Lille bounced back from two successive league defeats with a narrow 2-1 victory at home against Reims on Wednesday evening.

First-half strikes from Jonathan David and Benjamin Andre gave the hosts a two-goal cushion before the deficit was halved in the 74th minute when Reims substitute Alexis Flips converted from the penalty spot.

Les Dogues eventually held on for all three points which has seen them climb four places above the relegation zone up to 14th, though the gap to the summit – currently occupied by high-flying Paris Saint-Germain – is 13 points after just seven games.

After a disappointing start to their title defence, Jocelyn Gourvennec now needs to ensure his side are in a position to qualify for Europe before they can even consider catching PSG at the top.

Lille's form needs to improve quickly if they are to get back on track and move into the top seven. Having won three and drawn one of their last four matches against Strasbourg – scoring on average two goals per game – a victory for Les Dogues on Saturday could act as a springboard towards a much-needed run of form.

Strasbourg Ligue 1 form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

Lille Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W

Lille form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W


Team News

Lille's Burak Yilmaz celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 10, 2021© Reuters

Strasbourg will be without forward Lebo Mothiba due to a knee injury, while Jean-Ricner Bellegarde and Moise Sahi Dion are ruled out with thigh problems.

Ibrahima Sissoko, who returned to the matchday squad in midweek and came off the bench, will be in contention to start ahead of either Sanjin Prcic or Jean-Eudes Aholou.

Strikers Ajorque and Habib Diallo, who have both scored three league goals so far this season, are expected to partner each other once again in attack, with 34-year-old Kevin Gameiro set to start in the number 10 role just behind the front two.

As for Lille, winger Jonathan Bamba and central midfielder Renato Sanches remain sidelined with respective thigh and knee injuries.

Gourvennec will, however, be able to welcome back Xeka, who has served his one-match suspension. The Portuguese midfielder could be brought straight back into the starting lineup at the expense of Amadou Onana.

Timothy Weah is set to face competition from Yusuf Yazici and Angel Gomes to keep his place on the left side of midfield, while veteran striker Burak Yilmaz will likely partner Canadian international David once again up front.

Strasbourg possible starting lineup:
Sels; Guilbert, Djiku, Nyamsi, Le Marchand, Caci; Sissoko, Prcic; Gameiro; Diallo, Ajorque

Lille possible starting lineup:
Grbic; Celik, Fonte, Botman, Gudmundsson; Ikone, Andre, Xeka, Weah; David, Yilmaz


SM words green background

We say: Strasbourg 1-1 Lille

Lille have conceded in every Ligue 1 game so far this campaign, while Strasbourg have only kept one clean sheet from their first seven matches, so goals are to be expected on Saturday.

As reigning champions, the visitors will head into this fixture as slight favourites, however we can see the Racers securing a point on home soil.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



ID:465068:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11005:
Written by
Oliver Thomas

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Lille

Strasbourg
33.8%
Draw
32.4%
Lille
33.8%
68
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG13103037112633
2Marseille1382329171226
3MonacoMonaco1382322121026
4Lille136522113823
5Lyon136432317622
6Nice135532416820
7Lens135531512320
8Auxerre136162121019
9Reims135352018218
10Toulouse135351514118
11Brest135171923-416
12Rennes134271819-114
13StrasbourgStrasbourg133462227-513
14Angers133461421-713
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne134181130-1913
16Le HavreLe Havre134091024-1412
17NantesNantes132561520-511
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier132291334-218


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