MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:48:09| >> :600:91606:91606:
[monks data]
Sunderland
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Crewe Alexandra

Sunderland
2 - 0
Crewe

Neill (84'), Roberts (89')
Gooch (29'), Wright (74'), Cirkin (75'), Dajaku (90+1'), Clarke (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (66'), Lundstram (68'), Lowery (76')

Preview: Sunderland vs. Crewe Alexandra - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sunderland and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sunderland will look to extend their unbeaten to five matches when they welcome Crewe Alexandra to the Stadium of Light on Saturday.

The visitors, meanwhile, sit bottom of the pile in League One after losing nine of their last 10 matches.


Match preview

Sunderland's Luke O'Nien celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on March 8, 2022© Reuters

Sunderland enter Saturday's contest in fifth position, but with two points separating them from seventh-placed Wycombe Wanderers, Alex Neil will be fully aware that his side can not afford a drop in form.

The Black Cats have impressed in recent encounters after picking up eight points from their last four matches, and they will be aiming for consecutive victories on Saturday following their 3-1 home win over Fleetwood Town in midweek.

Neil's side trailed at half time after Ellis Harrison opened the scoring, but Sunderland demonstrated their quality in the second period to claim all three points thanks to goals from Elliot Embleton, Luke O'Nien and Jack Clarke.

Despite their promising run of form, Sunderland have experienced mixed results on home turf in recent matches, with their last six home games yielding three defeats, two victories and a draw.

However, they still boast the third-best home record in League One this term after collecting 38 points from their 18 league matches at the Stadium of Light, and that home form will be crucial in their quest to finish in the playoffs.

Crewe Alexandra's Christopher Long shoots at goal on January 12, 2022© Reuters

At the other end of the table, Crewe's two-season stay in League One looks to be drawing to a close with the Railwaymen sitting rock bottom of the league table.

Eight points adrift of safety with only 10 matches left to play, David Artell's side require a great escape if they are to beat the drop this season.

Recent results suggest that such a feat is unlikely, with Crewe collecting the lowest points tally of any side in League One in 2022.

Only Doncaster Rovers (72) and Morecambe (67) have conceded more goals than the Railwaymen (66) this term, and their defensive fragility was on full display in midweek when they suffered a 3-1 defeat at home to Portsmouth.

After playing consecutive home games, Crewe will now take to the road, and they will be looking to draw inspiration from the 2-1 victory that they picked up against Cheltenham Town in their most recent away trip.

Sunderland League One form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Crewe Alexandra League One form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Sunderland manager Alex Neil on March 8, 2022© Reuters

Neil has utilised different formations since taking over as Sunderland boss, including a half-time switch to a back three in Tuesday's win over Fleetwood, and he is expected to opt for three centre-backs once again on Saturday.

O'Nien may have earned himself a starting berth after scoring in his 20-minute appearance in the midweek win over Fleetwood.

Ross Stewart will once again lead the line as the current League One top scorer looks to add to his 22-goal tally.

As for the visitors, they are still without the services of Ben Knight and Scott Kashket due to injury issues.

Rekeem Harper could be in contention for a starting place after being introduced in the second half against Portsmouth.

Meanwhile, Chris Long has scored two goals in his last three games, and he will be looking to find the net once again when he partners Chris Porter upfront on Saturday.

Sunderland possible starting lineup:
Patterson; Winchester, Wright, Xhemajli; Gooch, Matete, O'Nien, Cirkin; Embleton, Clarke, Stewart

Crewe Alexandra possible starting lineup:
Richards; Johnson, O'Riordan, Offord; Agyei, Murphy, Harper, Lowery, Lundstram; Porter, Long


SM words green background

We say: Sunderland 3-0 Crewe Alexandra

With Sunderland unbeaten in their last four matches, we think that the hosts will make light work of a Crewe side, who are bereft of confidence after losing nine of their previous 10 games.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:480281:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8343:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 76.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 8.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.26%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sunderland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Sunderland vs Crewe

Sunderland
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Crewe Alexandra
0.0%
12
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Wycombe Wanderers' Brandon Hanlan celebrates scoring their first goal on January 11, 2022
Read Next:
Tuesday's League One predictions including Wycombe vs. Wigan
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!