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[monks data]
Sunderland
League One | Gameweek 35
Feb 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium of Light
Burton Albion

Sunderland
1 - 1
Burton Albion

Stewart (90+3')
Winchester (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview: Sunderland vs. Burton Albion - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Sunderland and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sunderland will look to end a five-game winless run on Tuesday when they welcome Burton Albion to the Stadium of Light for a League One contest.

The visitors are also struggling for form of late, having won just once in their previous five matches.


Match preview

Sunderland manager Alex Neil on February 19, 2022© Reuters

Alex Neil's appointment as Sunderland boss has not brought about an end to their winless run, with the Scotsman's first two games in charge yielding a single point.

After drawing 1-1 away to AFC Wimbledon, the Black Cats played host to MK Dons on Saturday and after a goalless first half, it was the visitors who drew first blood, with Mo Eisa opening the scoring three minutes after the restart.

Sunderland hit back through Ross Stewart, who netted his 19th league goal of the season, but with less than 15 minutes to play, Connor Wickham came back to haunt his former club as he snatched all three points for the visitors.

That result leaves the Black Cats in 7th place, with goal difference keeping them out of the top six, but if they are to make the playoffs, Neil needs to find a winning formula.

Despite their recent poor run of form, Sunderland hold the joint-second best away record in the league, and they will be aiming for a 12th home league win of the season when they face Burton on Tuesday.

Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink, now in charge of Burton Albion, pictured in January, 2021© Reuters

The Brewers, meanwhile, enter the midweek contest in a comfortable mid-table position, but Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink will be concerned by his side's recent form.

Three of their last five games have ended in defeat, and in their most recent outing, they succumbed to a 3-0 away defeat against Ipswich Town.

Goals from Kayden Jackson, Wes Burns and Bersant Celina condemned the Burton Albion to back-to-back away defeats and another away trip awaits in midweek.

Finding the net on their travels has proved to be a tricky task for Burton, who have scored just 13 goals in their 16 away league matches.

However, Hasselbaink will hope that his side can draw inspiration from the 1-0 victory that they picked up against Sunderland in the reverse fixture.

Sunderland League One form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L

Burton Albion League One form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L



Team News

Sunderland's Ross Stewart celebrates scoring their first goal on February 19, 2022© Reuters

Sunderland are still without the services Luke O'Nien, Aiden McGeady and Nathan Broadhead, who all remain injury absentees.

Goalkeeper Ron-Thorben Hoffman could come into the starting lineup after returning to the matchday squad on Saturday.

After featuring as second-half substitutes in the MK Dons defeat, Jack Clarke and Eliot Embleton could both come into the starting lineup for Tuesday's contest.

Meanwhile, Burton will not be able to call upon the services of Deji Oshilaja and Cameron Borthwick-Jackson, who are ruled out due to injury issues.

Jonny Smith returned from injury to feature as a second half substitute on Saturday and the 24-year-old is expected to be on the bench on Tuesday.

After signing on a free transfer, Oumar Niasse made his debut for the Brewers at the weekend, and he could be given his first start for the club in midweek.

Sunderland possible starting lineup:
Hoffman; Winchester, Wright, Doyle, Cirkin; Matete, Evans, Pritchard; Embleton, Clarke, Stewart

Burton Albion possible starting lineup:
Garratt; Hughes, Brayford, Blake-Tracey; Hamer, Powell, Maddox, Shaughnessy, Kokolo; Saydee, Niasse


SM words green background

We say: Sunderland 2-2 Burton Albion

Burton Albion have never tasted defeat at the Stadium of Light and with Sunderland currently enduring a winless run, we think that the Brewers will be able to hold their hosts to a draw on Tuesday.


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Written by
Ben Sully

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Sunderland vs Burton Albion

Sunderland
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
Burton Albion
23.8%
21
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Sunderland's Ross Stewart scores their first goal on January 11, 2022
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