Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.