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Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 34
Mar 3, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Swansea logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Swansea

Powell (6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Roberts (19'), Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Manning (71')

Preview: Stoke City vs. Swansea City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Promotion contenders Swansea City make the trip to the bet365 Stadium looking to improve on a run of just one win in three Championship fixtures.

Meanwhile, Stoke City head into the game on Wednesday evening on the back of consecutive defeats, form which has left the Potters as outsiders for a playoff spot.


Match preview

Swansea City manager Steve Cooper pictured in February 2021© Reuters

When Swansea impressed to defeat leaders Norwich City in the middle of February, Steve Cooper would have expected the result to act as a springboard for greater success later in the season.

However, toppling the division's pacesetters has only hindered the Welsh outfit, who have produced four below-par performances since that victory at the Liberty Stadium.

Swansea have still managed to collect six points from those fixtures, but the 3-1 reverse at home to Bristol City on Saturday highlighted that this side have started to lose their way.

Should they prevail in their two matches in hand, Swansea will move into second position, a reward for their consistency in defence since the start of September.

Nevertheless, seven goals have been conceded in just three games, almost a third of the strikes that they have shipped throughout the campaign.

Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill pictured in October 2020© Reuters

As far as Stoke are concerned, Michael O'Neill would have been left relatively impressed with the level of performance produced against Brentford at the weekend.

With the Potters holding an early lead, it took one of the goals of the month from Vitaly Janelt to turn the game on its head, subsequently helping the Bees record a 2-1 win.

Having lost two matches in succession, Stoke are now seven points off the playoffs, putting the Staffordshire outfit under pressure to get a win on the board on Wednesday.

Stoke have claimed seven points from their three most recent home fixtures, keeping clean sheets in each of the games against Reading, Sheffield Wednesday and Luton Town.

Stoke City Championship form: DLWWLL

Swansea City Championship form: WWWLWL
Swansea City form (all competitions): WLWLWL


Team News

Stoke City's Jacob Brown in action with Nottingham Forest's Ryan Yates in the Championship on December 29, 2020© Reuters

Jacob Brown is expected to keep his place in the Stoke attack after ending a near four-month wait for a goal versus Brentford.

While Stoke should stick with three players in defence, Jack Clarke may be drafted back into the starting lineup.

Cooper is likely to hand a recall to midfielder Jay Fulton, potentially as an alternative to Yan Dhanda.

Kyle Naughton and Korey Smith are also pushing for appearances in the starting lineup, but Ryan Bennett is expected to miss out through injury.

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Gunn; Batth, Souttar, Chester; Smith, Allen, Mikel, Norrington-Davies; Clarke, Brown, Powell

Swansea City possible starting lineup:
Woodman; Naughton, Cabango, Guehi; Roberts, Fulton, Grimes, Bidwell; Hourihane; Ayew, Lowe


SM words green background

We say: Stoke City 1-1 Swansea City

While both of these clubs will view this contest as one which they must not lose, a draw does not benefit either club. Taking everything into consideration, we can only see a low-scoring stalemate in the Potteries with the home side potentially finding a late equaliser.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Stoke vs Swansea

Stoke City
30.6%
Draw
22.2%
Swansea City
47.2%
108
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