Luton Town make the trip to face Swansea City on Tuesday evening looking for the victory which will take the club a step closer to challenging for the Championship playoffs.
Their hosts are seven points adrift in 17th position, albeit with a game in hand, and the Swans will be attempting to bounce back from seeing their three-match unbeaten streak come to an end on Saturday.
Match preview
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While Russell Martin has not enjoyed the best of starts to life at Swansea, he would have taken encouragement from five points coming from games with Huddersfield Town, Preston North End and Queens Park Rangers.
However, the Swans could not make it a fourth game in a row without defeat after going down by a 2-0 scoreline at Hull City.
Although the Welsh outfit still have several games in hand, they are almost at the point of no return when it comes to a playoff bid, and they can ill-afford more dropped points on Tuesday.
On a positive note, they still have 11 home matches remaining this season, more than the majority of teams in the division, but they need to improve on a return of just five wins from 12 coming on familiar territory.
Top goalscorer Joel Piroe has now only netted once in eight appearances, the bleak run of form coinciding with Jamie Paterson's extended absence from the team.
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Opponents Luton have been one of the better teams in the Championship since the start of December, the Hatters collecting 14 points from their seven league games.
Three of their fixtures during that period have been against the division's current top three, Luton remaining unbeaten in home games with Fulham, Bournemouth and Blackburn Rovers.
Sitting just six points adrift of the playoffs with at least one game in hand, the opportunity is there for Luton to make their presence felt among clubs who are under far more pressure to earn promotion to the Premier League.
Nathan Jones and his players will relish their tag of underdogs, too, but they now face a run of games against Swansea, Barnsley and Birmingham City where they deserve to be regarded as favourites.
Luton should have won the reverse fixture between the clubs at Kenilworth Road, Swansea remarkably coming back from three goals down to secure a 3-3 draw with two late strikes.
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Team News
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Martin will likely make several changes to his Swansea starting lineup, including handing a recall to Olivier Ntcham and Michael Obafemi.
Despite Hannes Wolf being withdrawn at Hull, Piroe's place in the team is at risk, as is Korey Smith's spot in midfield.
Ryan Bennett will also feel like he is in contention to feature in the back three, potentially as a replacement for Ben Cabango, while Flynn Downes will expect to return after suspension.
Jones could rotate his Luton team after the goalless draw with Blackburn with Luke Berry and Admiral Muskwe both in line for a recall.
Although Elijah Adebayo's fitness is being managed, he may feature in attack, and Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu is another player who may be provided with a rest on Tuesday.
Swansea City possible starting lineup:
Hamer; Bennett, Naughton, Manning; Christie, Downes, Grimes, Latibeaudiere; Ntcham, Wolf; Obafemi
Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Shea; Lockyer, Osho, Naismith; Bree, Campbell, Lansbury, Berry, Bell; Adebayo, Muskwe
We say: Swansea City 1-1 Luton Town
Given their respective situations, neither team can really afford a draw on Tuesday, particularly Luton whose playoffs ambitions are far more realistic. Nevertheless, we see a low-scoring draw playing out in South Wales.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
