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[monks data]
Sweden national football team
Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 24, 2021 at 9.30am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002
Australia national football team

Sweden Women
4 - 2
Australia Women

Rolfo (20', 63'), Hurtig (52'), Blackstenius (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kerr (36', 48')

Preview: Sweden Women vs. Australia Women - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between Sweden Women and Australia Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sweden Women face Australia Women at the Saitama Stadium 2002 on Saturday, in the second matchday of the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games.

Both sides come into this game on the back of victories in their opening fixtures, and another three points for one of these sides this weekend will guarantee their place in the quarter-finals.


Match preview

Sweden Women boss Peter Gerhardsson pictured on July 1, 2019© Reuters

Peter Gerhardsson's side faced Olympic favourites USA on Wednesday, and went into that game having knocked out the FIFA-ranked number one side in the world at Rio 2016.

The USA were out for revenge this time around at the Ajinomoto Stadium, but Sweden provided the perfect response from their point of view, as they recorded a dominant 3-0 win against Vlatko Andonovski's side.

Hacken striker Stina Blackstenius gave her side a 1-0 lead going into the break at half time, and 10 minutes after the restart she netted her second goal of the game.

After a good day's work for Blackstenius, she was replaced by Juventus' Lina Hurtig just after the hour mark and the substitute finished the job against the USA, scoring Sweden's third goal of the match.

The result came as a big shock after the USA had put together a 44-match unbeaten streak dating back to 2017, but that did not faze Sweden and Gerhardsson praised his side's brave attitude to attack the game against the world champions.

Australia also had a positive result in their first game of the Tokyo Olympics, beating national rivals New Zealand to put themselves joint-top of Group G.

Tameka Yallop and Samantha Kerr both struck in the first half to give Australia a comfortable margin to protect in the final 45 minutes which they went on to do, only allowing Gabrielle Rennie to score a consolation goal for New Zealand in stoppage time.

The 2-1 win was Australia's first victory since March last year, and has given Tony Gustavsson's side a good platform to build upon to progress out of the group stages.

Sweden last faced Australia just one month ago when they played each other in a friendly fixture in preparation for the Olympic Games, and that game ended in a goalless draw.

Sweden Women Olympic Games Women's Football form:
  • W

Sweden Women form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W

Australia Women Olympic Games Women's Football form:
  • W

Australia Women form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W



Team News

Tony Gustavsson pictured in June 2019© Reuters

Gerhardsson is expected to name the same lineup to the one that beat the USA 3-0 on Wednesday, with that result likely to have given the squad a big confidence boost ahead of their game against Australia.

Blackstenius will be keen to add to her brace that she secured in midweek, but Sweden can also rely upon the likes of Fridolina Rolfo and Kosovare Asllani to get on the scoresheet, having been in good form for their clubs last season.

Chelsea's Magdalena Eriksson was one of the three players to miss out on a place in the matchday squad when they faced the USA, and it is reported that the Swedish backroom staff want to make sure she is 100% fit to play.

Gustavsson could also name the same lineup to the one that he picked to face New Zealand on Wednesday, with Kerr expected to lead the line as she closes in on Lisa De Vanna's leading goal record, 47, for Australia Women - Kerr has currently scored 42 goals for her country.

Australia played three at the back against New Zealand, which was made up by Ellie Carpenter, Clare Polkinghorne and Steph Catley, protecting goalkeeper Lydia Williams, who is not first-choice keeper at Arsenal.

Sweden Women possible starting lineup:
Lindahl; Andersson, Bjorn, Ilestedt, Glas; Seger, Asllani, Angeldal; Rolfo, Blackstenius, Jakobsson

Australia Women possible starting lineup:
Williams; Catley, Polkinghorne, Carpenter; Yallop, Luik, Van Egmond, Raso; Foord, Kerr, Simon


SM words green background

We say: Sweden Women 2-1 Australia Women

Sweden's confidence after beating the world champions should be sky high and they can use that to good effect against Australia and claim another victory at Tokyo 2020.

Australia will also be confident after beating New Zealand, however Sweden's defence is very strong and that could be the basis which Gerhardsson's side build on to claim victory again on Saturday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for an Australia Women win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Sweden Women vs Australia Women

Sweden Women
73.7%
Draw
10.5%
Australia Women
15.8%
38
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