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Torino logo
Serie A | Gameweek 37
Jul 29, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Roma logo

Torino
2 - 3
Roma

Berenguer (14'), Singo (66')
Lyanco (23'), Meite (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Dzeko (16'), Smalling (23'), Diawara (61' pen.)
Perez (35'), Mancini (38'), Zaniolo (81')

Preview: Torino vs. Roma - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Torino and Roma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Roma will be looking to build on their weekend victory over Fiorentina when they travel to Torino on Wednesday for the penultimate round of Serie A fixtures.

Meanwhile, Torino secured their safety in the top flight last time out as they shared the spoils in 1-1 draw with already-relegated SPAL.


Match preview

Torino manager Moreno Longo pictured in June 2020© Reuters

Even though Torino failed to pick up all three points against Serie A's basement team on Sunday evening, Moreno Longo's men ensured their survival in the top flight as they recorded just their sixth draw of the campaign.

Following 18th-placed Lecce's defeat to Bologna, Torino just needed a point against SPAL to stave off relegation, and Il Toro now have an insurmountable seven-point lead over Lecce with just two games left to play.

Andrea Belotti's 16 goals have done little to arrest Torino's slump this season, but with their Serie A status confirmed ahead of the 2020-21 campaign, Longo now has the time to reassess the club's situation as they look to avoid another subpar season next time around.

While a home fixture against a high-flying Roma side will not will the Torino faithful with confidence, Longo's men are on a three-game unbeaten streak at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, with Lazio the only team to walk away from Torino's territory with all three points since the restart.

Paulo Fonseca pictured as Roma boss in August 2019© Reuters

Meanwhile, Roma continued their remarkable run of form as they enjoyed a 2-1 victory over Fiorentina at the weekend, with Jordan Veretout netting two penalties for Paulo Fonseca's side against his former club.

The Frenchman's second spot kick was the subject of much controversy after the game, but Roma held on nonetheless to register their fifth win from their last six games in the Italian top flight.

The top-four dream is dead in the water for Roma, however, and Fonseca will no doubt want to use these final two games to consolidate his side's hold on fifth spot with AC Milan breathing down their necks.

With a final-day fixture against recently-crowned champions Juventus to contend with next weekend, I Giallorossi will already have one eye on their Europa League campaign as they look to claim a piece of silverware and a route into the Champions League for next season.

Roma will lock horns with Sevilla in the last 16 of the competition, and should the Italian outfit keep their strong run of form going into August, the Giallorossi faithful ought to feel optimistic about their side's chances of making the quarter finals.

Torino Serie A form: WLWLDD

Roma Serie A form: WWWDWW


Team News

Roma forward Nicolo Zaniolo pictured in November 2019© Reuters

Torino midfielder Tomas Rincon was shown his 10th yellow card of the season against SPAL and will play no part in the visit of Roma.

As a result, Sasa Lukic is expected to deputise in midfield alongside Soualiho Meite, while Ola Aina is an option on the left should Longo opt to shuffle the pack.

Lorenzo De Silvestri and Daniele Baselli remain on the treatment table and may not feature for Torino until next season.

With regards to Roma, Fonseca is still likely to be without Cengiz Under, Davide Santon, Juan Jesus and Roger Ibanez for the trip to Torino.

Midfielder Lorenzo Pellegrini suffered a broken nose in the victory over Fiorentina, meaning that the highly-rated Nicolo Zaniolo could be given the chance to impress from the first whistle.

Torino possible starting lineup:
Sirigu; Izzo, Nkoulou, Bremer; Berenguer, Meite, Lukic, Aina; Verdi; Zaza, Belotti

Roma possible starting lineup:
Lopez; Mancini, Smalling, Kolarov; Peres, Veretout, Cristante, Spinazzola; Mkhitaryan, Zaniolo; Dzeko


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Torino 1-3 Roma

Torino boast a respectable record at home following Serie A's resumption and have little to fear with their safety guaranteed, but the only way is up for Roma at the moment and we are backing Fonseca's side to march to their third victory in a row on Wednesday.



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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Torino had a probability of 22.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 0-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Torino win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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