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New England Revolution
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2021 at 12am UK
Gillette Stadium
Toronto FC

New England
2 - 3
Toronto

Gil (56'), Buksa (78')
McNamara (75')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Soteldo (9'), Lawrence (15'), Endoh (24')
Delgado (55'), DeLeon (89')

Preview: New England Revolution vs. Toronto - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Toronto will try to put the past behind them as they play their first match under interim manager Javier Perez on Wednesday against the New England Revolution from Gillette Stadium.

The Revs squandered a 2-0 lead over the weekend, drawing 2-2 with the Columbus Crew, while Toronto suffered a humiliating 7-1 defeat to DC United on Saturday.


Match preview

New England Revolution forward Gustavo Bou celebrates scoring with teammates on June 28, 2021© Reuters

A season of relatively smooth sailing for New England has hit a bit of a speed bump in recent weeks, as the Eastern-Conference leaders are winless in their last two encounters after winning five in a row.

Conceding an early goal against Dallas seemed to take them out of their rhythm, as they looked disjointed for much of that game.

Then last weekend, they appeared to be back on track with a two-goal lead after half an hour but could not close the deal as an own-goal from Andrew Farrell with 21 minutes remaining saw them drop two points against Columbus.

Manager Bruce Arena was displeased that his side gave up a two-goal advantage against the Crew, and that is an area that he will want his team to fix, conceding two second-half leads this season which have led to draws, with six of their last eight goals conceded coming in the second half.

However, the Revs got some help from their arch-rivals, the New York Red Bulls, who beat Orlando City SC 2-1, enabling New England to stay atop the Eastern Conference standings with 24 points from their opening 12 games.

The hope is that a return to Gillette Stadium against a team in turmoil in TFC can get the Revs back on the right path, as they have a 100% record at home this season, winning all five of their matches so far.

Toronto FC players celebrate after a goal by forward Patrick Mullins on June 24, 2021© Reuters

The first 11 games for Toronto FC have gone almost as bad as one could imagine, and it all culminated with an embarrassing 7-1 defeat to DC United, their worst loss in franchise history.

That defeat, combined with losing an additional seven matches, were all the TFC front office needed to see before making a change, dismissing manager Chris Armas and replacing him with assistant coach Javier Perez on an interim basis.

There are still plenty of games to be played, but it seems pretty clear that the high-pressing system which Armas employed was too much to ask for a Reds team with several veterans like Michael Bradley and Jonathan Osorio.

They played a different style for many happy and successful years under former manager Greg Vanney, making the MLS Cup final three times, and becoming the first Canadian franchise to win the league in 2017.

When you consider that TFC have the highest MLS payroll, it is perhaps not surprising that the front office made this move when they did.

Toronto have not been able to start or finish games strong all season, conceding 11 goals in the first half-hour of a match while giving up another nine in the final 20 minutes.

New England Revolution Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D

Toronto Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

New England Revolution head coach Bruce Arena on May 8, 2021© Reuters

The Revs will be missing defensive midfielder Luis Caicedo with a leg injury, while striker Tajon Buchanan will be among the players unavailable for the next little while, as he is representing Canada at the Gold Cup.

Goalkeeper Matt Turner, who is tied with Philadelphia Union keeper Andre Blake for the MLS lead in saves with 41 this season, will be a part of the US national team looking to claim their seventh Gold Cup crown.

Striker Gustavo Bou has been on fire for New England with a goal in four consecutive matches, while winger Tommy McNamara registered his first assist of the season last weekend versus the Crew.

Revs midfielder Carles Gil made his 50th MLS appearance while being named the Player of the Month in the league for June, while striker Teal Bunbury came on as a second-half substitute against Columbus, making his 300th career appearance in MLS.

Toronto centre-back Eriq Zavaleta picked up two cautions in three minutes on Saturday and will be suspended for this match, although he would have been out regardless as he will represent El Salvador at the Gold Cup.

The TFC injured list includes centre-back Julian Dunn who has a hip injury, Ifunanyachi Achara is out with a torn knee ligament, winger Erickson Gallardo is recovering from groin surgery and goalkeeper Quentin Westberg has a finger injury.

Striker Yeferson Soteldo is back from his international duty with Venezuela, and he could be heavily counted upon in attack as the Reds' top two goalscorers, Ayo Akinola and Jonathan Osorio, are with the Canadian national team for the Gold Cup.

Defender Richie Laryea is also a part of the Canadian squad, while fellow defender Kemar Lawrence will be a member of the Jamaican team.

New England Revolution possible starting lineup:
Knighton; Jones, Kessler, Farrell, Bell; Traustason, Polster; McNamara, Gil, Boateng; Bou

Toronto possible starting lineup:
Bono; Mavinga, Gonzalez, Auro; Delgado, Bradley, Okello, Pozuelo; Mullins, Dwyer; Endoh


SM words green background

We say: New England Revolution 2-2 Toronto

New England are the only team in MLS who have won all of their matches on home soil to this point, but they tend to let their opponents back into games as good as they have been this season.

After their 7-1 debacle last week, you can bet the veterans on TFC will be keen to pick up their game, plus they are playing for a new manager, which historically tends to have a good short-term benefit with players eager to impress their new boss.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Joel Lefevre

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 56.38%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: New England vs Toronto

New England Revolution
72.9%
Draw
14.6%
Toronto
12.5%
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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