Top meets bottom in Thursday's CONMEBOL World Cup 2022 Qualifying battle, as Venezuela welcome Brazil to the Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
The hosts are rooted to the bottom of the pile having taken just four points from their opening nine games, while Brazil are sitting pretty at the top with eight wins out of eight.
Match preview
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Venezuela's bid for a first-ever World Cup Finals appearance is seemingly dead in the water already, as the world's 49th-ranked nation just cannot get one over their continental neighbours no matter what they try.
Leo Gonzalez's side can only boast one win from their nine qualification matches so far - a 2-1 success over Chile in November 2020 - but each of their three games last month against Argentina, Peru and Paraguay ended in defeat.
Against the latter, Brescia centre-back Jhon Chancellor scored in the dying embers - only Venezuela's fifth goal of Qualifying - but by that point it was too late to inspire a comeback as goals from Kaku and David Martinez saw Paraguay march to a 2-1 win.
The hosts' measly record of one win, one draw and seven losses sees them sit in 10th place in the standings - nine points adrift of the top five - and it would take nothing short of a miracle for Venezuela to book their tickets to Qatar now.
Gonzalez only took the reins at Venezuela in August but has been handed a baptism of fire with three successive defeats, and any hopes of the 49-year-old ending his side's nine-game winless streak across all competitions seem slim to none against a rampant Brazil.
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While the quarantine fiasco during their clash with Argentina may have made all the headlines last month, Brazil did the business during their other two World Cup qualifying fixtures to cement their position atop the rankings.
Either side of their short-lived clash with the Copa America champions, Brazil scraped a 1-0 win over Chile before putting two unanswered goals past Peru, with Everton Ribeiro and Neymar both netting before the half-time whistle.
With a perfect tally of eight wins from eight games, Tite's side are sitting pretty at the top of the pile - six points clear of second-placed Argentina - and their streak of appearing in every World Cup Finals since the tournament's inception was never in doubt.
Furthermore, the Selecao's staunch rearguard have now gone six World Cup Qualifying games without conceding a goal - shipping a mere two across their eight matches so far - while 19 goals at the correct end of the pitch is unsurprisingly the most out of any South American nation.
However, Brazil had to rely on Roberto Firmino to bail them out of trouble during a 1-0 win over Venezuela earlier in Qualifying, but they have won five of their last six against their upcoming opponents and have lost just once in 27 meetings with the hosts.
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Team News
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Venezuela will have to cope without two of their most potent strikers for this month's fixtures, with Salomon Rondon remaining in England while Josef Martinez has not been selected.
Experienced midfielders Yangel Herrera, Romulo Otero and Jhon Murillo are nowhere to be seen either, while Jefferson Savarino and Mikel Villanueva are injured.
Torino's Thomas Rincon ought to lead the team out as he looks to earn his 109th cap for the national team, while Fernando Aristeguieta and Jan Hurtado will battle it out to lead the line.
Brazil's Premier League contingent have been given the green light to link up with the national team this month - in spite of threats of a five-day domestic ban, which were ultimately waived - but Firmino and Richarlison will not be involved amid their injury woes.
Atletico Madrid new boy Matheus Cunha has been forced to withdraw from the squad due to a thigh problem, while Neymar is suspended for an accumulation of bookings, but two uncapped attackers in Ajax's Antony and Leeds United's Raphinha have been included.
Tite may be tempted to rest some of his big-hitters before clashes with Colombia and Uruguay in the coming days, so the likes of Gerson and Gabriel Jesus will hope to earn starts in midweek.
Venezuela possible starting lineup:
Farinez; Rosales, Ferraresi, Chancellor, O. Gonzalez; Rincon, Moreno; Soteldo, Casseres, Machis; Hurtado
Brazil possible starting lineup:
Ederson; Danilo, Marquinhos, Militao, Sandro; Ribeiro, Casemiro, Gerson, Vinicius Jr; Barbosa, Jesus
We say: Venezuela 0-2 Brazil
Even if Tite does decide to field a more inexperienced lineup against the group's basement side, Brazil should still have far too much firepower and ought to claim a straightforward three points against their struggling opponents, who are unlikely to experience any joy in front of goal against the Selecao's resilient backline either.
Top tip
Ben Knapton
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 15.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.26%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
Argentina
Uruguay
Ecuador
Colombia
Brazil
Paraguay
Bolivia
Venezuela
Chile
Peru
