MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:44:36| >> :60:39:39:
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Venezuela national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2021 at 9pm UK
 
Peru national football team

Venezuela
1 - 2
Peru

Machis (52')
Gonzalez (30'), Hernandez (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lapadula (18'), Cueva (65')
Advincula (42'), Yotun (61'), Trauco (90+5')

Preview: Venezuela vs. Peru - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Venezuela and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Peru will look to climb into the top five of the South American World Cup 2022 Qualifying group on Tuesday, when they make the trip to take on Venezuela.

The visitors currently occupy seventh spot but remain within two points of the qualification places, while their hosts are stranded at the foot of the group.


Match preview

Peru's Andre Carrillo celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on June 27, 2021© Reuters

Venezuela's difficult spell on the international stage has continued into this World Cup Qualifying campaign, as La Vinotinto are now almost mathematically out of the running for what would have been their maiden global tournament.

While a 2-1 victory over Chile was a high point in 2020, that was their only win in the first 10 qualifying games, leaving the strugglers on just four points at the bottom of the group, before they managed to defeat Ecuador 2-1 in October thanks to goals from Darwin Machis and Eduard Bello.

Such a win was impressive against a side battling at the top end of the group, but they have been unable to build a run on those foundations, having since lost 3-0 to Chile and 1-0 to Ecuador.

La Tricolor gained revenge on Venezuela on Thursday, as Piero Hincapie hit the only goal in a home win, further cutting Leonardo Gonzalez's men adrift.

Now sitting on just seven points from 13 of their 18 games, La Vinotinto are all but out of contention, but they will still hope to post a positive result and regain some confidence on Tuesday.

Venezuela team huddle before the match on June 13, 2021© Reuters

They meet a Peru side who will look to challenge for the top five spots after an important victory last time out.

Having started the qualifying campaign with four defeats and a draw, Peru's qualification hopes looked particularly slim, but they have managed to overturn their form in impressive fashion.

Los Incas have now collected 13 points from their last eight outings to stand a strong chance of a top-five finish, although those chances were harmed by consecutive defeats to Bolivia and Argentina in October.

Ricardo Gareca's side made a crucial rebound on Friday, as they thrashed strugglers Bolivia 3-0, with Gianluca Lapadula, Christian Cueva and Sergio Pena all getting on the scoresheet in the first half.

That saw them move back up to seventh spot, with Uruguay, Colombia and fourth-placed Chile all just two points ahead, meaning Los Incas' situation could be vastly changed with a victory, depending on other results.

Venezuela World Cup Qualifying - South America form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Peru World Cup Qualifying - South America form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Peru's Andre Carrillo in action on June 27, 2021© Reuters

Venezuela are without all-time top scorer Salomon Rondon, who has missed this international break to focus on getting sharp for Everton.

Tomas Rincon and Jose Martinez form a solid midfield pairing, and they will be relied on to provide experience and steel in the engine room.

Gonzalez should again deploy a back three, with Adrian Martinez, Nahuel Ferraresi and Yordan Osorio set to take to the field.

After a strong showing last time out, Peru are expected to field an unchanged side on Tuesday, with the likes of Christian Cueva, Sergio Pena and Renato Tapia remaining key players.

One possible alteration may be the return of Yoshimar Yotun though, after he served a suspension last time out.

Gianluca Lapadula will continue to lead the line after he found the net last time out, taking his tally to four international goals.

Venezuela possible starting lineup:
Romo; Rosales, Martinez, Ferraresi, Osorio, Carrillo; Machis, Rincon, Martinez, Hurtado; Ramirez

Peru possible starting lineup:
Gallese; Lora, Zambrano, Callens, Trauco; Yotun, Tapia; Carrillo, Pena, Cueva; Lapadula


SM words green background

We say: Venezuela 0-2 Peru

Given the gulf in class between the two sides, we see Peru picking up a relatively comfortable victory on Tuesday.

The hosts have struggled this campaign, and we again see them being dominated by a Peru side who will be confident after a win last time out.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Peru had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Peru win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Venezuela vs Peru

Venezuela
19.3%
Draw
12.5%
Peru
68.2%
88
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CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Argentina Argentina1281325
2 Ecuador flag Ecuador1264222
3 Uruguay flag Uruguay1255220
4 Colombia Colombia1254319
5 Brazil Brazil1253418
6 Paraguay flag Paraguay1245317
7 Bolivia flag Bolivia1241713
8 Venezuela Venezuela1226412
9 Chile Chile122379
10 Peru flag Peru121477

CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Argentina Argentina1281325
2 Ecuador flag Ecuador1264222
3 Uruguay flag Uruguay1255220
4 Colombia Colombia1254319
5 Brazil Brazil1253418
6 Paraguay flag Paraguay1245317
7 Bolivia flag Bolivia1241713
8 Venezuela Venezuela1226412
9 Chile Chile122379
10 Peru flag Peru121477


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