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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 18, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
Groningen

Willem II
2 - 1
Groningen

Okyere Wriedt (5'), Saddiki (24')
Saddiki (7'), Llonch (54'), Okyere Wriedt (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Suslov (61')
van Hintum (19'), Ngonge (68')

Preview: Willem II vs. Groningen - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Looking to end a barren run of three games without a victory, Groningen travel to Tilburg for their clash against Willem II on Saturday.

Meanwhile, the home side are looking to return to winning ways after dropping points for the first time since the opening weekend last time out.


Match preview

Fred Grim, now in charge of RKC Waalwijk, pictured in 2017© Reuters

Willem II showed great resolve to force a share of the spoils in their match versus newcomers NEC Nijmegen at the Stadion de Goffert on Sunday.

Despite playing the majority of the contest a man down, Fred Grim's men repelled everything that was thrown at them to secure a hard-fought point.

The Tricolores have responded superbly to an opening-day defeat, amassing seven of the subsequent nine points to sit fifth on the log going into this weekend's tie.

Saturday's hosts, who are also yet to concede in any of their last three matches since shipping four against Feyenoord, now look set for a more productive campaign after narrowly escaping relegation last time out.

Groningen were made to wait for their first home victory of the 2021-22 campaign following a 1-1 stalemate versus Heerenveen on Sunday.

Danny Buijs's men trailed to Tibor Halilovic's 19th-minute strike at half time before drawing level through Cyril Ngonge midway through the second period.

The Pride of the North are in 10th place at the moment following an inconsistent start to the new season, where they have picked up five points from the opening four games.

Going up against an opposing side who the last 18 meetings with have yielded five wins apiece and eight draws, Saturday's visitors are faced with another stern test in their bid to turn a corner.

However, after coming out on top in both of last season's league meetings, Groningen will be confident of recording another positive result once again.

Willem II Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

Willem II form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

Groningen Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D

Groningen form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D



Team News

Joel Brondeel was shown a straight red card in Willem II's last outing versus NEC, and he will serve the first of a three-game suspension in this one.

Connor van den Berg made six saves after coming on for Brondeel in the aforementioned match and is expected to keep his place between the sticks.

Groningen's Radinio Balker is yet to return from a cruciate ligament injury and still awaits his debut since his summer move from NEC Nijmegen.

The away side will also be without the services of Dutch defender Mike te Wierik, who was sent off for two bookable offences last time out.

Willem II possible starting lineup:
Van den Berg; Owusu, Jenssen, Heerkens, Kohn; Saglam, Saddiki, Llonch; Kohlert, Okyere Wriedt, Nunnely

Groningen possible starting lineup:
Leeuwenburgh; Postema, Kasanwirjo, Gudmundsson, El Hankouri, Dammers; Matusiwa, Ngonge, Suslov; Strand Larsen, De Leeuw


SM words green background

We say: Willem II 1-1 Groningen

The home side have the upper hand coming into the game due to their recent run of results and will fancy themselves to secure all three points in this one. However, we are tipping Groningen to come away with a point in what should be an enthralling affair.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Willem II vs Groningen

Willem II
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Groningen
12.5%
8
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