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[monks data]
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Augsburg logo

Wolfsburg
0 - 0
Augsburg

FT

Gouweleeuw (90+4')

Preview: Wolfsburg vs. Augsburg - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga fixture between Wolfsburg and Augsburg, including team news and predicted lineups.

Augsburg square off against Wolfsburg on Sunday afternoon looking to extend their winning streak in the Bundesliga to three matches.

Fresh off the back of their surprise exit from the Europa League, Wolfsburg head into this game looking to get their first league victory on the board after successive draws.


Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen's Kerem Demirbay in action with Wolfsburg's Wout Weghorst in the Bundesliga in May 2020© Reuters

After Wolfsburg squeezed into the Europa League at the end of last season, boss Oliver Glasner would have been confident about his side qualifying for the group stages of the competition.

However, being eliminated on penalties in their final qualifying round fixture against AEK Athens has come as a huge blow to the German side, who must now reassess their plans.

Regardless of their net spend over the summer being reasonable enough, Wolfsburg likely budgeted for a campaign in Europe, and at least one major sale could now occur before the end of the window.

As well as the potential issues off the pitch, Glasner and his side are under pressure to get their first win of the season on the board after draws with Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg.

They face opponents in Augsburg who have already caused a major upset this season in defeating Borussia Dortmund by a 2-0 scoreline.

After five successive finishes of between 12th and 15th, few expected Heiko Herrlich's side to overcome the title challengers with the added bonus of a clean sheet.

As one of just two clubs who still possess a 100% record in the Bundesliga after two matches, expectation levels have inevitably increased ahead of the trip to the Volkswagen Arena.

Felix Uduokhai's loan deal from Wolfsburg was turned into a permanent transfer earlier in the summer, and the former Germany Under-21 international netted his first league goal for Augsburg last week.

Wolfsburg Bundesliga form: DD
Wolfsburg form (all competitions): WWDWDL

Augsburg Bundesliga form: WW
Augsburg form (all competitions): WWW


Team News

Wolfsburg head coach Oliver Glasner pictured in March 2020© Reuters

Having rested a number of players last weekend, Wolfsburg boss Glasner will likely restore each of his stars to the starting lineup.

That should see Renato Steffen, Xaver Schlager and Wout Weghorst all feature in the first XI.

From Augsburg's perspective, Alfred Finnbogason is pushing Florian Niederlechner for a place in the final third.

Former West Ham United youngster Reece Oxford will remain among the substitutes, despite playing the final 27 minutes against Dortmund.

Wolfsburg possible starting lineup:
Pervan; Otavio, Lacroix, Guilavogui, Klaus; Mehmedi, Steffen, Schlager, Arnold, Brekalo; Weghorst

Augsburg possible starting lineup:
Gikiewicz; Framberger, Uduokhai, Gouweleeuw, Iago; Caligiuri, Gruezo, Khedira, Hahn; Gregoritsch, Finnbogason


SM words green background

We say: Wolfsburg 1-1 Augsburg

Given the respective mindsets of the two sides, many will be tipping Augsburg to prevail in this encounter. However, this Wolfsburg team need to produce a positive reaction, and we feel that it will be enough to earn a share of the spoils.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Augsburg?

Wolfsburg
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Draw
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Augsburg
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Bayer Leverkusen's Kerem Demirbay in action with Wolfsburg's Wout Weghorst in the Bundesliga in May 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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