MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:09:46| >> :300:86550:86550:
Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Gerard Houllier

Lyon
4 - 1
Roma

Diani (77', 79'), Le Sommer (89'), Renard (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dragoni (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Lyon Women and Roma Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon Women

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Last Game: Roma 0-3 Lyon
Wednesday, November 13 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Roma Women

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Last Game: Roma 0-3 Lyon
Wednesday, November 13 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Lyon Women 2-0 Roma Women

 Roma will be looking to give a better account of themselves after failing to trouble Lyon at the Stadio Tre Fontane last week, but we think that they will experience another difficult outing against a Lyon side their firing on all cylinders at both ends of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Roma Women had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Roma Women win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.

Result
Lyon WomenDrawRoma Women
50.3% (-1.346 -1.35) 22.09% (0.343 0.34) 27.61% (1.011 1.01)
Both teams to score 64.21% (-0.325 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.52% (-0.81700000000001 -0.82)35.48% (0.824 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.48% (-0.91 -0.91)57.52% (0.919 0.92)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.55% (-0.721 -0.72)14.45% (0.731 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.6% (-1.422 -1.42)42.4% (1.43 1.43)
Roma Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (0.25700000000001 0.26)24.95% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (0.352 0.35)59.58% (-0.345 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Lyon Women 50.3%
    Roma Women 27.61%
    Draw 22.09%
Lyon WomenDrawRoma Women
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.97% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-2 @ 4.19% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.102 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 50.3%
1-1 @ 9.68% (0.216 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.6% (0.148 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.09%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.197 0.2)
0-1 @ 5% (0.239 0.24)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.19 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.099 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 27.61%

How you voted: Lyon vs Roma

Lyon Women
73.7%
Draw
21.1%
Roma Women
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Roma
0-3
Lyon
Dumornay (36', 42'), Gilles (52')
Egurrola (55'), Svava (60'), Gilles (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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