Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 52.2%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.15%) , while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (8.83%).