Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%) , while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (7.99%).