World Cup Qualifying - South America
Mar 24, 2022 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 42' goal
  • Facundo Pellistri 72' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 76' yellowcard

Uruguay vs Peru - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Feb 1, 2022 11.00pm
Uruguay 4 - 1 Venezuela

Peru

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Feb 2, 2022 2.00am
Peru 1 - 1 Ecuador

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Peru had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uruguay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uruguay.

Result

Uruguay 55.5%
Draw 25.21%
Peru 19.29%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.29%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.95%
Under 2.5 57.05%
Over 3.5 22.06%
Under 3.5 77.94%

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5 79.43%
Under 0.5 20.57%
Over 1.5 46.9%
Under 1.5 53.1%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5 55.75%
Under 0.5 44.24%
Over 1.5 19.68%
Under 1.5 80.32%

Score analysis

Uruguay 55.5%
Draw 25.2%
Peru 19.29%
Uruguay
1-0 @ 14.39%
2-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 9.28%
3-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 4.89%
4-0 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 55.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 9.1%
2-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.2%
Peru
0-1 @ 7.42%
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 19.29%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 3, 2021 2.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Renato Tapia 25' goal
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 29'
  • yellowcard Diego Godin 80'
International Friendlies
Oct 16, 2019 2.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nacional de Lima (Lima)
  • Carlos Zambrano 23' yellowcard
  • Christofer Gonzales 34' goal
  • Miguel Trauco 36' yellowcard
  • Luis Advincula 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Caceres 26'
  • redcard Martin Caceres 26'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 80'
International Friendlies
Oct 12, 2019 12.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)
  • Brian Rodriguez 17' goal
  • Martin Caceres 84' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Bentancur 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Zambrano 10'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Costa 49'
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 88'
Copa America
Jun 29, 2019 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Itaipava Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
  • Diego Godin 33' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Zambrano 49'
  • yellowcard Christian Cueva 63'
International Friendlies
Mar 21, 2019 9.00pm
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Mar 29, 2017 3.15am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nacional
  • Paolo Guerrero 34' goal
  • Edison Flores 62' goal
  • goal Carlos Sanchez 30'