Atletico Mineiro

2 - 1

Sao Paulo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.