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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heracles |
53.79% ( 3.29) | 23.95% ( -1.42) | 22.25% ( -1.87) |
Both teams to score 51.97% ( 2.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51% ( 3.9) | 49% ( -3.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.92% ( 3.43) | 71.08% ( -3.43) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% ( 2.83) | 18.13% ( -2.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.91% ( 4.62) | 49.09% ( -4.62) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.48% ( 0.43) | 36.52% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.69% ( 0.43) | 73.3% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.8) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.63) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.57) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.35) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.45) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.42) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.24) Other @ 3.4% Total : 53.79% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.66) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -1.12) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.94% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -1.04) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.78% Total : 22.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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