MX23RW : Sunday, June 2 09:15:24| >> :600:118310:118310:
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg

Zrinjski Mostar
6 - 2
Breidablik

Kis (2', 30'), Malekinusic (21', 40'), Bilbija (33'), Ivancic (55')
Jakovljevic (69'), Senic (87')
FT(HT: 5-0)
Logi Ludviksson (64'), Eyjolfsson (74')
Karl Einarsson (25')
Karl Einarsson (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Zrinjski Mostar and Breidablik, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-2 Zrinjski Mostar
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Copenhagen 6-3 Breidablik
Wednesday, August 2 at 7pm in Champions League
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We said: Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 Breidablik

Given the nerves that will be on show for this fixture, we expect a tense first leg. Zrinjski are in the better form when taking everything into consideration, yet we feel that the visitors will do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Breidablik had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Breidablik win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zrinjski Mostar would win this match.

Result
Zrinjski MostarDrawBreidablik
56.98% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 21.76% (0.02 0.02) 21.27% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.84% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.44% (-0.055 -0.05)40.56% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.06% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)62.94% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)14.06% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (-0.067 -0.07)41.64% (0.067 0.07)
Breidablik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.7% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)69.25% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Zrinjski Mostar 56.98%
    Breidablik 21.27%
    Draw 21.75%
Zrinjski MostarDrawBreidablik
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 9.02% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 56.98%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.75%
1-2 @ 5.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.14% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 21.27%

How you voted: Loser Match 6 vs Loser Match 5

Loser Match 6
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Loser Match 5
28.6%
7
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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