Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Las Palmas |
41.61% ( -0.07) | 28.57% ( -0.01) | 29.82% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 44.9% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.75% ( 0.06) | 61.24% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.82% ( 0.04) | 81.17% ( -0.05) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.99% ( -0.01) | 29.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.09% ( -0.02) | 64.91% ( 0.02) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.24% ( 0.1) | 36.75% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.46% ( 0.1) | 73.54% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 13.19% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 41.61% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.56% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 29.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |