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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 5, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Alaves logo

Valencia
0 - 1
Alaves


Duro (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lopez (68')
Blanco (11'), Tenaglia (22'), Omorodion (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 4-2 Valencia
Monday, April 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 3-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-0 Alaves

Valencia are in need of a win this weekend after two disappointing results, but Alaves are capable of making this a tricky match. That said, we are expecting Los Che to get the job done in front of their own fans, with Hugo Duro potentially adding to the 13 league goals that he has managed this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.35%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawAlaves
43.35% (0.261 0.26) 29.58% (-0.202 -0.2) 27.07% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 40.99% (0.444 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.6% (0.564 0.56)65.4% (-0.563 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.83% (0.389 0.39)84.17% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (0.43000000000001 0.43)30.1% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (0.512 0.51)66.24% (-0.511 -0.51)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.64% (0.277 0.28)41.36% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.13% (0.243 0.24)77.87% (-0.242 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 43.35%
    Alaves 27.07%
    Draw 29.57%
ValenciaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 14.94% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 8.97% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 43.35%
1-1 @ 13.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 12.44% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.57%
0-1 @ 10.99% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 27.07%

How you voted: Valencia vs Alaves

Valencia
78.4%
Draw
13.5%
Alaves
8.1%
74
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Alaves
1-0
Valencia
Ozkacar (6' og.)
Guridi (38'), Gorosabel (45+2'), Guevara (82'), Benavidez (89'), Garcia (90+5')

Gaya (45+2'), Diakhaby (86')
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 24
Alaves
2-1
Valencia
N'Diaye (14'), Joselu (76' pen.)
Tenaglia (37'), Pina (45+2'), Escalante (61'), Laguardia (90+7')
Guedes (62' pen.)
Diakhaby (76'), Lato (84'), Gil (88')
Aug 27, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 3
Valencia
3-0
Alaves
Wass (3'), Soler (45+2'), Guedes (60')
Diakhaby (86')

Lejeune (28'), N'Diaye (45'), Pacheco (61'), Miazga (61')
Apr 24, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Valencia
1-1
Alaves
Gaya (89')
Gaya (4'), Guillamon (37'), Vallejo (81'), Soler (83')
Guidetti (84')
Calleja Revilla (49')
Lopez (87')
Nov 22, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 10
Alaves
2-2
Valencia
Navarro (2'), Perez (16' pen.)
Lejeune (37')
Vallejo (72'), Guillamon (77')
Guillamon (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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