La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia1 - 0Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Valencia 1-3 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, January 17 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, January 17 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
We said: Valencia 2-2 Athletic Bilbao
Five of the last seven La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we can see another draw here. Athletic are on an impressive winning run, but Valencia's form has also been excellent, and we are finding it difficult to separate the teams in what could be an entertaining clash. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
25.25% ( 0.29) | 26.06% ( 0.13) | 48.69% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 48.92% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
