Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 66.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Brest had a probability of 13.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Brest |
66.2% | 20.53% | 13.27% |
Both teams to score 45.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1% | 48.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.01% | 70.99% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.08% | 13.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.63% | 41.36% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.62% | 47.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.23% | 82.77% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 13% 2-0 @ 12.82% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 6.3% 4-0 @ 4.16% 4-1 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.35% 5-0 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.43% Total : 66.19% | 1-1 @ 9.71% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.53% | 0-1 @ 4.93% 1-2 @ 3.63% 0-2 @ 1.84% 1-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.98% Total : 13.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |