Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Clermont |
59.87% ( 0.93) | 21.99% ( -0.42) | 18.14% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 51.73% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.9% ( 1.03) | 46.1% ( -1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.6% ( 0.97) | 68.4% ( -0.97) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.01% ( 0.65) | 14.99% ( -0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.57% ( 1.23) | 43.43% ( -1.23) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.85% ( 0.03) | 39.15% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.13% ( 0.03) | 75.86% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.48% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |