MX23RW : Tuesday, May 28 07:24:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Brest logo

Toulouse
0 - 3
Brest


Mawissa (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Camara (48'), Amavi (54'), Lala (90')
Pereira Lage (79'), Amavi (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 1-3 Toulouse
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Reims
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-3 Brest

Brest have been involved in some wildly entertaining games of late away from home, and given that they still have something to play for, we expect to see them push the intensity and find a way to overcome a Toulouse side that have improved a lot in front of goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Brest had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawBrest
39.02% (0.756 0.76) 25.87% (0.181 0.18) 35.11% (-0.943 -0.94)
Both teams to score 54.56% (-0.729 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.3% (-0.891 -0.89)49.7% (0.885 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (-0.804 -0.8)71.71% (0.797 0.8)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)25.02% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.68% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (-0.97499999999999 -0.97)27.23% (0.97 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.34% (-1.284 -1.28)62.65% (1.278 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 39.02%
    Brest 35.11%
    Draw 25.86%
ToulouseDrawBrest
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.336 0.34)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.234 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.035 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 39.02%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.242 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.11%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Brest

Toulouse
35.1%
Draw
16.2%
Brest
48.6%
37
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Brest
1-1
Toulouse
Satriano (90+2')
Camara (45+5'), Brassier (70')
Magri (27')
Spierings (10'), Magri (79')
Apr 2, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 29
Brest
3-1
Toulouse
Mounie (33'), Le Douaron (63'), Camara (84')
Dallinga (10')
Jan 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Toulouse
1-1
Brest
Aboukhlal (65')
Mounie (18')
Jan 11, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 20
Toulouse
2-5
Brest
Diakite (16', 21')
Vainqueur (84')
Court (7'), Charbonnier (72', 77'), Mbock (79'), Cardona (85')
Aug 10, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 1
Brest
1-1
Toulouse
Autret (25')
Koulouris (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
RLorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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