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Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Philadelphia Union

New England
0 - 3
Philadelphia


Porter (15'), Kessler (17'), Vrioni (66'), Arreaga (85')
Spaulding (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carranza (38'), Gazdag (47', 80')
Harriel (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 NY City
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-3 Philadelphia Union

With two sides meeting in the midst of tough runs, something is bound to give on Saturday, and we see the Union being too strong for their struggling hosts, given their quality going forward which has been prevalent even throughout the rut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
40.61% (0.159 0.16) 24.52% (-0.194 -0.19) 34.87% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.23% (0.698 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (0.904 0.9)43.64% (-0.905 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97% (0.879 0.88)66.03% (-0.88000000000001 -0.88)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (0.467 0.47)21.54% (-0.469 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (0.714 0.71)54.6% (-0.714 -0.71)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (0.443 0.44)24.51% (-0.444 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (0.618 0.62)58.97% (-0.618 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 40.61%
    Philadelphia Union 34.87%
    Draw 24.51%
New England RevolutionDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 40.61%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.088 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.87%

How you voted: New England vs Philadelphia

New England Revolution
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Philadelphia Union
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2023 12am
New England
0-1
Philadelphia

Gil (90+4')
Kaye (45')
Donovan (79')
Lowe (33'), Mbaizo (90+4')
Oct 28, 2023 10pm
Philadelphia
3-1
New England
Gazdag (19' pen.), Uhre (26'), Harriel (37')
Andres Martinez (87')
Bou (68')
Wood (29'), Farrell (35'), Chancalay (37'), Vrioni (87')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Bou (25' pen., 42')
Carranza (16')
Harriel (7'), Lowe (23'), Wagner (24'), Carranza (90+2')
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
New England
Gazdag (56', 74' pen.), Carranza (88')
Real (90+3')

Blessing (4'), Wood (45'), Gil (73'), Altidore (84'), Romney (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto177372626024
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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