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Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Montreal Impact

Toronto
5 - 1
Montreal

Longstaff (6'), Bernardeschi (12', 58', 60'), Osei Owusu (19')
Bernardeschi (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Sunusi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-3 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-0 CF Montreal

Both teams are struggling at the moment, but the Reds should get plenty of difference-makers back this weekend, which could pay dividends. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
46.08% (-1.846 -1.85) 24.72% (0.567 0.57) 29.19% (1.276 1.28)
Both teams to score 56.09% (-1.007 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (-1.734 -1.73)46.69% (1.733 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (-1.644 -1.64)68.95% (1.644 1.64)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (-1.465 -1.47)20.33% (1.462 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.28% (-2.385 -2.39)52.72% (2.383 2.38)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.59% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (0.036999999999999 0.04)65.62% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 46.08%
    CF Montreal 29.19%
    Draw 24.73%
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.263 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.63% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.321 -0.32)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.267 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.226 -0.23)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 46.08%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.427 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.525 0.53)
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.206 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.324 0.32)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 29.19%

How you voted: Toronto vs Montreal

Toronto
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
CF Montreal
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-3
Montreal
Bernardeschi (66', 90+4')
Servania (45+5')
Petretta (77')
Choiniere (18', 79'), Mabika (25' og.)
Campbell (90+3')
May 14, 2023 12.30am
Sep 5, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
3-4
Montreal
Bernardeschi (5' pen.), Insigne (7', 90+3')
Miller (19'), Mihailovic (21'), Kamara (43'), Johnston (54')
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 41
Toronto
1-1
Montreal
Altidore (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto177372626024
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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