Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Newcastle United |
24.08% ( -0.03) | 23.29% ( 0.01) | 52.63% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.35% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.73% ( -0.06) | 44.27% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.35% ( -0.06) | 66.65% ( 0.06) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.74% ( -0.06) | 32.26% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.24% ( -0.07) | 68.76% ( 0.07) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.18% ( -0.02) | 16.82% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.2% ( -0.03) | 46.8% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 24.08% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.28% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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