Ural

2 - 1

Baltika

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 44%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest Baltika win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.