Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Roma |
26.96% ( 0.52) | 26.16% ( -0.05) | 46.88% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 50.02% ( 0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.1% ( 0.51) | 53.9% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.64% ( 0.43) | 75.36% ( -0.43) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.94% ( 0.7) | 35.06% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.19% ( 0.73) | 71.81% ( -0.73) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.02% ( 0) | 22.98% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.23% ( 0) | 56.77% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.09% Total : 26.96% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |